Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultMolde to win ✗50% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Lillestrom vs Molde: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Molde travel to face Lillestrom on Sunday 11 October in the Eliteserien, with Åråsen Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 18:15 WAT. In the table, Lillestrom are 4th, among the top four, on 45 points after 26 matches; Molde are 5th (upper half) with 44. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lillestrom, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Bærum, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Molde, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kristiansund BK, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Molde, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Lillestrom.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Molde 0–1 Lillestrom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lillestrom 1.4 xG, Molde 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lillestrom 30%, draw 20%, Molde 50%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lillestrom 1–1 Molde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lillestrom30%fair 3.30 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.75
Molde50%fair 2.00 · @2.05
3.17Expected goals
1.35Lillestrom xG
1.82Molde xG
66%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lillestrom 1.4 – 1.8 Molde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Molde?
On our numbers Lillestrom have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Molde 50%.
How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Molde?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Molde?
Our predicted score is Lillestrom 1–1 Molde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lillestrom vs Molde?
Lillestrom vs Molde (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Åråsen Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
