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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fredrikstad v Tromso: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Fredrikstad Stadion
1–1
FT

Tromso

WWLLD
Fredrikstad 37%Draw 23%Tromso 40% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.54
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultTromso to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62

Fredrikstad vs Tromso: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tromso travel to face Fredrikstad on Sunday 11 October in the Eliteserien, with Fredrikstad Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Fredrikstad are 12th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Tromso are 6th (upper half) with 40.

Current form

Fredrikstad, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Valerenga, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Tromso, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Ham-Kam, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Fredrikstad, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Tromso.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Tromso 4–0 Fredrikstad.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fredrikstad 1.5 xG, Tromso 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fredrikstad 37%, draw 23%, Tromso 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fredrikstad 1–1 Tromso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fredrikstad37%fair 2.70 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Tromso40%fair 2.48 · @2.40
3.00Expected goals
1.46Fredrikstad xG
1.54Tromso xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Fredrikstad 1.5 – 1.5 Tromso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTromso to win ✗40%2.482.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.67 ▲
Draw no betTromso (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapFredrikstad +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreTromso to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tromso / FT Tromso ✗23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.62–

Recent results

Fredrikstad – last 6

DWDLWW
20 Sep@ Valerenga1–1D
16 Sep@ Stjørdals-Blink1–0W
13 Sepvs Sarpsborg 08 FF1–1D
4 Sepvs BodoGlimt1–2L
30 Aug@ Lillestrom4–1W
22 Aug@ Eidsvold IF7–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tromso – last 6

WWLLDL
20 Sepvs Ham-Kam3–2W
16 Sep@ Alta2–1W
12 Sep@ Rosenborg3–5L
6 Sep@ Kristiansund BK0–2L
30 Augvs Sarpsborg 08 FF0–0D
27 Aug@ Brighton0–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Tromso v Fredrikstad4–0
Fredrikstad vs Tromso head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fredrikstad vs Tromso?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Fredrikstad vs Tromso?

On our numbers Fredrikstad have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tromso 40%.

How many goals will there be in Fredrikstad vs Tromso?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fredrikstad vs Tromso?

Our predicted score is Fredrikstad 1–1 Tromso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Fredrikstad vs Tromso?

Fredrikstad vs Tromso (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Fredrikstad Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.