Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultIlves to win ✓47% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Ilves vs Gnistan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 23 May the Veikkausliiga brings Ilves against Gnistan at Tammela Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ilves are 2nd on 38 points after 27 matches; Gnistan are 5th with 46.
Current form
Ilves, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Inter Turku, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Gnistan, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Inter Turku, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gnistan, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Ilves.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ilves 1.7 xG, Gnistan 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ilves 47%, draw 24%, Gnistan 29%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilves 1–1 Gnistan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ilves47%fair 2.13 · @1.97
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.55
Gnistan29%fair 3.42 · @3.30
3.04Expected goals
1.74Ilves xG
1.30Gnistan xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Ilves 1.7 – 1.3 Gnistan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ilves to win✓
47%
2.13
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.57
Draw no bet
Ilves (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Gnistan +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Ilves to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ilves / FT Ilves✓
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Ilves – last 6
LWWDLD
20 May
vs Inter Turku
1–3
L
13 May
@ P-Iirot
4–0
W
8 May
vs AC Oulu
1–0
W
2 May
@ SJK
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ VPS
2–3
L
21 Feb
vs AC Oulu
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gnistan – last 6
WDWDDW
5 May
vs Inter Turku
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ Turku PS
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ POHU
2–0
W
28 Mar
@ Kooteepee
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Lahti
0–0
D
14 Feb
@ Turku PS
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ilves and Gnistan.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ilves vs Gnistan?
On our numbers Ilves have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gnistan 29%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs Gnistan?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs Gnistan?
Our predicted score is Ilves 1–1 Gnistan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs Gnistan?
Ilves vs Gnistan (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
