FF Jaro vs Mariehamn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mariehamn travel to face FF Jaro on Saturday 23 May in the Veikkausliiga, with Project Liv Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, FF Jaro are 5th on 21 points after 27 matches; Mariehamn are 6th with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FF Jaro, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to KuPS, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Mariehamn, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over PuiU Helsinki, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mariehamn, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for FF Jaro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FF Jaro 1.4 xG, Mariehamn 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FF Jaro 51%, draw 26%, Mariehamn 23%.
Lower-risk option: FF Jaro or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: FF Jaro 1–0 Mariehamn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FF Jaro51%fair 1.96 · @1.88
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.40
Mariehamn23%fair 4.37 · @3.80
2.44Expected goals
1.45FF Jaro xG
0.99Mariehamn xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
2–19%
0–09%
0–19%
From our goals model: FF Jaro 1.4 – 1.0 Mariehamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FF Jaro to win✓
51%
1.96
1.88
Double chance
FF Jaro or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
FF Jaro (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Mariehamn +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
FF Jaro to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FF Jaro / FT FF Jaro✓
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.03
–
Recent results
FF Jaro – last 6
LLLWDW
20 May
@ KuPS
0–3
L
13 May
@ VJS
3–5
L
9 May
@ Inter Turku
0–2
L
28 Apr
@ GBK
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ SJK
1–1
D
15 Apr
@ AC Oulu
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mariehamn – last 5
WDWLW
13 May
vs PuiU Helsinki
3–0
W
10 May
@ Lahti
1–1
D
28 Apr
@ HPS
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ SJK
0–3
L
5 Mar
vs Lahti
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FF Jaro and Mariehamn.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win FF Jaro vs Mariehamn?
On our numbers FF Jaro have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mariehamn 23%.
How many goals will there be in FF Jaro vs Mariehamn?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FF Jaro vs Mariehamn?
Our predicted score is FF Jaro 1–0 Mariehamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FF Jaro vs Mariehamn?
FF Jaro vs Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Project Liv Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
