KuPS welcome Lahti to Vare Areena for a Veikkausliiga fixture on Saturday 23 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, KuPS are 3rd on 53 points after 32 matches; Lahti are 1st with 39. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
KuPS, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FF Jaro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lahti, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with VPS, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KuPS 1.4 xG, Lahti 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KuPS 55%, draw 25%, Lahti 20%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: KuPS 1–0 Lahti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KuPS55%fair 1.83 · @1.54
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.80
Lahti20%fair 4.96 · @5.60
2.33Expected goals
1.41KuPS xG
0.92Lahti xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: KuPS 1.4 – 0.9 Lahti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KuPS to win✓
55%
1.83
1.54
Double chance
KuPS or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.83
Draw no bet
KuPS (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Lahti +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
KuPS to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KuPS / FT KuPS✓
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
KuPS – last 6
WWDDWL
20 May
vs FF Jaro
3–0
W
12 May
@ PK-35
2–0
W
8 May
vs SJK
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs HJK Helsinki
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs AC Oulu
3–2
W
26 Feb
@ Lech Poznan
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lahti – last 6
DWDLWW
18 May
vs VPS
1–1
D
13 May
vs MP
3–1
W
10 May
vs Mariehamn
1–1
D
4 May
@ HJK Helsinki
0–1
L
28 Apr
@ Union Plaani
4–2
W
13 Apr
@ Kooteepee
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KuPS and Lahti.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win KuPS vs Lahti?
On our numbers KuPS have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lahti 20%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs Lahti?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs Lahti?
Our predicted score is KuPS 1–0 Lahti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs Lahti?
KuPS vs Lahti (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vare Areena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
