Value bet: Gnistan to win @ 2.68 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGnistan to win ✓41% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Gnistan vs SJK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 30 May: Gnistan v SJK in the Veikkausliiga, played at Markku.fi Areena. In the table, Gnistan are 5th on 46 points after 32 matches; SJK are 4th with 27. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gnistan, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ilves, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
SJK, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over SJK Akatemia, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gnistan 1.6 xG, SJK 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gnistan 41%, draw 24%, SJK 35%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Gnistan to win @2.68 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gnistan 1–1 SJK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gnistan41%fair 2.46 · @2.68
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.40
SJK35%fair 2.85 · @2.38
2.83Expected goals
1.56Gnistan xG
1.28SJK xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Gnistan 1.6 – 1.3 SJK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gnistan to win✓
41%
2.46
2.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Draw no bet
Gnistan (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
SJK +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Gnistan to score first
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gnistan / FT Gnistan✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
Gnistan – last 6
LWDWDD
23 May
@ Ilves
0–2
L
5 May
vs Inter Turku
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ Turku PS
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ POHU
2–0
W
28 Mar
@ Kooteepee
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Lahti
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
SJK – last 6
WLWDDW
26 May
@ SJK Akatemia
5–0
W
23 May
vs AC Oulu
0–1
L
12 May
vs PEPO
3–0
W
8 May
@ KuPS
0–0
D
2 May
vs Ilves
1–1
D
28 Apr
@ VPS II
6–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gnistan and SJK.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gnistan vs SJK?
On our numbers Gnistan have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and SJK 35%.
How many goals will there be in Gnistan vs SJK?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gnistan vs SJK?
Our predicted score is Gnistan 1–1 SJK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gnistan vs SJK?
Gnistan vs SJK (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
