Ilves travel to face Lahti on Saturday 30 May in the Veikkausliiga, with Lahden Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Lahti are 1st on 39 points after 27 matches; Ilves are 2nd with 38. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lahti, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mariehamn, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Ilves, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Turku PS, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ilves, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Lahti.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lahti 1.3 xG, Ilves 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lahti 38%, draw 27%, Ilves 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lahti 1–1 Ilves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lahti38%fair 2.66 · @2.42
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.15
Ilves36%fair 2.81 · @2.76
2.57Expected goals
1.31Lahti xG
1.26Ilves xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Lahti 1.3 – 1.3 Ilves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lahti to win✓
38%
2.66
2.42
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.75
Draw no bet
Lahti (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Ilves +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Lahti to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lahti / FT Lahti✓
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.09
–
Recent results
Lahti – last 6
WLDWDL
26 May
@ Mariehamn
1–0
W
23 May
@ KuPS
1–2
L
18 May
vs VPS
1–1
D
13 May
vs MP
3–1
W
10 May
vs Mariehamn
1–1
D
4 May
@ HJK Helsinki
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ilves – last 6
WWLWWD
27 May
vs Turku PS
1–0
W
23 May
vs Gnistan
2–0
W
20 May
vs Inter Turku
1–3
L
13 May
@ P-Iirot
4–0
W
8 May
vs AC Oulu
1–0
W
2 May
@ SJK
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lahti and Ilves.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lahti vs Ilves?
On our numbers Lahti have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ilves 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lahti vs Ilves?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lahti vs Ilves?
Our predicted score is Lahti 1–1 Ilves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lahti vs Ilves?
Lahti vs Ilves (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lahden Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
