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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arsenal Tivat v Bokelj: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · Stadion u Parku
1–0
FT

Bokelj

LLDD
Arsenal Tivat 40%Draw 30%Bokelj 30% Expected goals 1.09 – 0.98
70%
Betarazi pick

Arsenal Tivat or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.29Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultArsenal Tivat to win ✓40% · @2.05
Double chanceArsenal Tivat or draw ✓70% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.61

Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Arsenal Tivat v Bokelj in the First League, played at Stadion u Parku. In the table, Arsenal Tivat are 10th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Bokelj are 6th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Arsenal Tivat, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Sutjeska, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Bokelj, last 4: LLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mornar, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Arsenal Tivat, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Bokelj.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tivat 1.1 xG, Bokelj 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tivat 40%, draw 30%, Bokelj 30%.
  • Lower-risk option: Arsenal Tivat or draw (70%) at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Arsenal Tivat or draw (70%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tivat 1–0 Bokelj. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arsenal Tivat40%fair 2.48 · @2.05
Draw30%fair 3.33 · @2.90
Bokelj30%fair 3.38 · @3.30
2.07Expected goals
1.09Arsenal Tivat xG
0.98Bokelj xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Arsenal Tivat 1.1 – 1.0 Bokelj expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal Tivat to win ✓40%2.482.05
Double chanceArsenal Tivat or draw ✓70%1.421.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.922.05 ▲
Draw no betArsenal Tivat (draw no bet) ✓58%1.73–
Asian handicapBokelj +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreArsenal Tivat to score first ✓46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal Tivat / FT Arsenal Tivat ✓21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.61–

Recent results

Arsenal Tivat – last 4

LLWW
11 Mar@ Sutjeska1–4L
1 Mar@ Petrovac0–1L
25 Febvs Buducnost Podgorica1–0W
21 Feb@ Mornar2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bokelj – last 4

LLDD
11 Marvs Mornar1–2L
1 Marvs Jedinstvo1–4L
25 Feb@ Jezero1–1D
21 Febvs Mladost DG0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tivat and Bokelj.

Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj?

Our pick is Arsenal Tivat or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj?

On our numbers Arsenal Tivat have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Bokelj 30%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj?

Our predicted score is Arsenal Tivat 1–0 Bokelj, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj?

Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj (First League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion u Parku.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.