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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mladost DG v Jezero: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · DG Arena
3–1
FT

Jezero

LDDL
Mladost DG 37%Draw 26%Jezero 36% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.52
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.91Odds
2

Value bet: Jezero to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMladost DG to win ✓37% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.21

Mladost DG vs Jezero: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mladost DG welcome Jezero to DG Arena for a First League fixture on Sunday 15 March (15:00 WAT). In the table, Mladost DG are 9th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 15 matches; Jezero are 8th (in the drop zone) with 18.

Current form

Mladost DG, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Petrovac, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Jezero, last 4: LDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dečić, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Mladost DG, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Jezero.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mladost DG 1.4 xG, Jezero 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mladost DG 37%, draw 26%, Jezero 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Jezero to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mladost DG 1–1 Jezero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mladost DG37%fair 2.67 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.88
Jezero36%fair 2.77 · @3.25
2.96Expected goals
1.44Mladost DG xG
1.52Jezero xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Mladost DG 1.4 – 1.5 Jezero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMladost DG to win ✓37%2.672.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.91 ▲
Draw no betMladost DG (draw no bet) ✓51%1.96–
Asian handicapMladost DG +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreJezero to score first ✓49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jezero / FT Jezero ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.21–

Recent results

Mladost DG – last 5

LLWDD
11 Mar@ Petrovac1–3L
1 Mar@ Mornar0–3L
25 Febvs Jedinstvo1–0W
21 Feb@ Bokelj0–0D
14 Febvs Grbalj1–1D
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Jezero – last 4

LDDL
11 Marvs Dečić1–2L
1 Marvs Sutjeska1–1D
25 Febvs Bokelj1–1D
21 Feb@ Petrovac1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mladost DG and Jezero.

Mladost DG vs Jezero head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mladost DG vs Jezero?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Mladost DG vs Jezero?

On our numbers Mladost DG have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Jezero 36%.

How many goals will there be in Mladost DG vs Jezero?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mladost DG vs Jezero?

Our predicted score is Mladost DG 1–1 Jezero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Mladost DG vs Jezero?

Mladost DG vs Jezero (First League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at DG Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.