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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mladost DG v Arsenal Tivat: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · DG Arena
Sat 4 Apr 2026
Mladost DG 40%Draw 28%Arsenal Tivat 32% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.18
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 2.00

4/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultMladost DG to win40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.39

Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arsenal Tivat travel to face Mladost DG on Saturday 4 April in the First League, with DG Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Mladost DG are 9th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 15 matches; Arsenal Tivat are 10th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Mladost DG, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Jezero, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Arsenal Tivat, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bokelj, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mladost DG 1.4 xG, Arsenal Tivat 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mladost DG 40%, draw 28%, Arsenal Tivat 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mladost DG 1–1 Arsenal Tivat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mladost DG40%fair 2.48 · @2.38
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.80
Arsenal Tivat32%fair 3.13 · @2.80
2.59Expected goals
1.41Mladost DG xG
1.18Arsenal Tivat xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–07%
2–07%

From our goals model: Mladost DG 1.4 – 1.2 Arsenal Tivat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMladost DG to win40%2.482.38
Double chanceEither team to win72%1.381.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.772.00 ▲
Draw no betMladost DG (draw no bet)56%1.79–
Asian handicapArsenal Tivat +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.92–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.14–
First team to scoreMladost DG to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mladost DG / FT Mladost DG25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.39–

Recent results

Mladost DG – last 6

WLLWDD
15 Marvs Jezero3–1W
11 Mar@ Petrovac1–3L
1 Mar@ Mornar0–3L
25 Febvs Jedinstvo1–0W
21 Feb@ Bokelj0–0D
14 Febvs Grbalj1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Arsenal Tivat – last 5

WLLWW
15 Marvs Bokelj1–0W
11 Mar@ Sutjeska1–4L
1 Mar@ Petrovac0–1L
25 Febvs Buducnost Podgorica1–0W
21 Feb@ Mornar2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mladost DG and Arsenal Tivat.

Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?

On our numbers Mladost DG have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Arsenal Tivat 32%.

How many goals will there be in Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?

Our predicted score is Mladost DG 1–1 Arsenal Tivat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?

Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat (First League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at DG Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.