Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMornar to win59% · @1.65
Double chanceMornar or draw82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.09
Mornar vs Jezero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mornar welcome Jezero to Stadion Topolica for a First League fixture on Saturday 4 April (18:00 WAT). In the table, Mornar are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 15 matches; Jezero are 8th (in the drop zone) with 18.
Current form
Mornar, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Buducnost Podgorica, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Jezero, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Mladost DG, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mornar, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.4 for Jezero.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mornar 1.9 xG, Jezero 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mornar 59%, draw 23%, Jezero 18%.
Lower-risk option: Mornar or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mornar to win (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mornar 1–0 Jezero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mornar59%fair 1.70 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.50
Jezero18%fair 5.47 · @4.33
2.84Expected goals
1.87Mornar xG
0.97Jezero xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Mornar 1.9 – 1.0 Jezero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mornar to win
59%
1.70
1.65
Double chance
Mornar or draw
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Mornar (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Jezero +1.5 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Mornar to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Mornar ahead at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mornar / FT Mornar
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Mornar – last 6
WWWDLD
15 Mar
vs Buducnost Podgorica
3–0
W
11 Mar
@ Bokelj
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Mladost DG
3–0
W
25 Feb
@ Dečić
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Arsenal Tivat
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sutjeska
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Jezero – last 5
LLDDL
15 Mar
@ Mladost DG
1–3
L
11 Mar
vs Dečić
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Sutjeska
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Bokelj
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Petrovac
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mornar and Jezero.
Our pick is Mornar to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Mornar vs Jezero?
On our numbers Mornar have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jezero 18%.
How many goals will there be in Mornar vs Jezero?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mornar vs Jezero?
Our predicted score is Mornar 1–0 Jezero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mornar vs Jezero?
Mornar vs Jezero (First League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Topolica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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