Almirante Brown 31%Draw 38%Tristan Suarez 31%Expected goals 0.67 – 0.72
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Tristan Suarez to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultDraw38% · @2.30
Double chanceAlmirante Brown or draw69% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score57% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–025% · fair 4.03
Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Almirante Brown v Tristan Suarez in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento. In the table, Almirante Brown are 6th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Tristan Suarez are 1st (leading the league) with 64. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Almirante Brown, last 4: LWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Racing Cordoba, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almirante Brown 0.7 xG, Tristan Suarez 0.7 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 80% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almirante Brown 31%, draw 38%, Tristan Suarez 31%.
Lower-risk option: Almirante Brown or draw (69%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Tristan Suarez to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almirante Brown 0–0 Tristan Suarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almirante Brown31%fair 3.24 · @2.60
Draw38%fair 2.60 · @2.30
Tristan Suarez31%fair 3.26 · @3.50
1.39Expected goals
0.67Almirante Brown xG
0.72Tristan Suarez xG
43%Both score
20%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–025%
0–118%
1–017%
1–112%
0–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Almirante Brown 0.7 – 0.7 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Almirante Brown
Tristan Suarez
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-1%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
-59%
Our expected goals here
0.50
0.61
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw
38%
2.60
2.30
Double chance
Almirante Brown or draw
69%
1.44
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.36
Draw no bet
Almirante Brown (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Almirante Brown +0.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.77
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Tristan Suarez to score first
39%
2.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
59%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0
25%
4.03
–
Recent results
Almirante Brown – last 4
LWWD
14 Mar
@ Racing Cordoba
1–2
L
2 Mar
@ CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs All Boys
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Los Andes
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tristan Suarez – last 2
WW
21 Mar
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–0
W
2 Mar
vs San Martin S.J.
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almirante Brown and Tristan Suarez.
What is the prediction for Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez?
On our numbers Almirante Brown have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 38% and Tristan Suarez 31%.
How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 20% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez?
Our predicted score is Almirante Brown 0–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez?
Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gimnasia Jujuy2
San Martin S.J.0
Atlanta
Almagro