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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlanta v Ferro Carril Oeste: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina

Atlanta

WDLW
Sat 28 Mar 2026

Ferro Carril Oeste

LD
Atlanta 51%Draw 31%Ferro Carril Oeste 18% Expected goals 1.29 – 0.69
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.35

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtlanta to win51% · @1.95
Double chanceAtlanta or draw82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals69% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.62

Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 28 March the Primera Nacional brings Atlanta against Ferro Carril Oeste. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Atlanta are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 36 matches; Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd (among the top four) with 66.

Current form

Atlanta, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Deportivo Maipu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta 1.3 xG, Ferro Carril Oeste 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta 51%, draw 31%, Ferro Carril Oeste 18%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta 1–0 Ferro Carril Oeste. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlanta51%fair 1.96 · @1.95
Draw31%fair 3.25 · @2.70
Ferro Carril Oeste18%fair 5.48 · @4.60
1.98Expected goals
1.29Atlanta xG
0.69Ferro Carril Oeste xG
46%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%

From our goals model: Atlanta 1.3 – 0.7 Ferro Carril Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AtlantaFerro Carril Oeste
Attack vs Primera Nacional average+8%-7%
Goals conceded vs average-1%-5%
Our expected goals here1.260.72

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtlanta to win51%1.961.95
Double chanceAtlanta or draw82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.851.48
Draw no betAtlanta (draw no bet)74%1.36–
Asian handicapFerro Carril Oeste +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals57%1.751.67
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals69%1.461.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals95%1.05–
First team to scoreAtlanta to score first56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atlanta / FT Atlanta30%3.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018%5.62–

Recent results

Atlanta – last 4

WDLW
17 Marvs Deportivo Maipu3–1W
3 Marvs Patronato0–0D
23 Feb@ Colegiales0–1L
16 Febvs Quilmes1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Ferro Carril Oeste – last 2

LD
21 Marvs Los Andes0–2L
1 Mar@ Colon Santa Fe1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atlanta and Ferro Carril Oeste.

Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

League hub
FT Chaco For Ever1 Gimnasia Jujuy2 148%2.40X27%2.55225%3.45 1.8–1.0xG 1XChaco For Ever or draw 75%@1.22 ✗
FT San Martin S.J.0 Racing Cordoba0 156%1.95X28%2.65217%4.80 1.7–0.7xG 1San Martin S.J. to win 56%@1.95 ✗
– Almagro Deportivo Moron 131%3.75X32%2.30237%2.50 1.1–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.25
– Almirante Brown Tristan Suarez 131%2.60X38%2.30231%3.50 0.7–0.7xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 80%@1.22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

On our numbers Atlanta have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Ferro Carril Oeste 18%.

How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Our predicted score is Atlanta 1–0 Ferro Carril Oeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.