Value bet: Tristan Suarez to win @ 4.40 – our chance 31% vs 23% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultDraw35% · @2.65
Double chanceAgropecuario or draw69% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–021% · fair 4.74
Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Agropecuario v Tristan Suarez in the Primera Nacional, played at Ofelia Rosenzuaig. In the table, Agropecuario are 12th, lower half, on 46 points after 36 matches; Tristan Suarez are 1st (leading the league) with 64. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Agropecuario, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Union Santa Fe, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Agropecuario 0.7 xG, Tristan Suarez 0.8 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Agropecuario 34%, draw 35%, Tristan Suarez 31%.
Lower-risk option: Agropecuario or draw (69%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Tristan Suarez to win @4.40 – the bookmaker implies 23%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.37, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Agropecuario 0–0 Tristan Suarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Agropecuario34%fair 2.92 · @2.00
Draw35%fair 2.85 · @2.65
Tristan Suarez31%fair 3.26 · @4.40
1.56Expected goals
0.73Agropecuario xG
0.82Tristan Suarez xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–021%
0–117%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Agropecuario 0.7 – 0.8 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Agropecuario
Tristan Suarez
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-9%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
-59%
Our expected goals here
0.46
0.70
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw
35%
2.85
2.65
Double chance
Agropecuario or draw
69%
1.44
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.55
Draw no bet
Agropecuario (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Agropecuario +0.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Tristan Suarez to score first
42%
2.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
56%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0
21%
4.74
–
Recent results
Agropecuario – last 5
LDWLL
31 Mar
@ Union Santa Fe
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Ciudad de Bolívar
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Chacarita Juniors
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Nueva Chicago
0–2
L
23 Feb
@ Temperley
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tristan Suarez – last 2
WW
21 Mar
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–0
W
2 Mar
vs San Martin S.J.
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Agropecuario and Tristan Suarez.
What is the prediction for Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez?
On our numbers Agropecuario have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Tristan Suarez 31%.
How many goals will there be in Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez?
Our predicted score is Agropecuario 0–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez?
Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Ofelia Rosenzuaig.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.