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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Agropecuario v Tristan Suarez: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Ofelia Rosenzuaig
Sat 4 Apr 2026
Agropecuario 34%Draw 35%Tristan Suarez 31% Expected goals 0.73 – 0.82
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.40

8/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Tristan Suarez to win @ 4.40 – our chance 31% vs 23% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultDraw35% · @2.65
Double chanceAgropecuario or draw69% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–021% · fair 4.74

Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Agropecuario v Tristan Suarez in the Primera Nacional, played at Ofelia Rosenzuaig. In the table, Agropecuario are 12th, lower half, on 46 points after 36 matches; Tristan Suarez are 1st (leading the league) with 64. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Agropecuario, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Union Santa Fe, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Agropecuario 0.7 xG, Tristan Suarez 0.8 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Agropecuario 34%, draw 35%, Tristan Suarez 31%.
  • Lower-risk option: Agropecuario or draw (69%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: Tristan Suarez to win @4.40 – the bookmaker implies 23%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.37, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Agropecuario 0–0 Tristan Suarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Agropecuario34%fair 2.92 · @2.00
Draw35%fair 2.85 · @2.65
Tristan Suarez31%fair 3.26 · @4.40
1.56Expected goals
0.73Agropecuario xG
0.82Tristan Suarez xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–021%
0–117%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Agropecuario 0.7 – 0.8 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AgropecuarioTristan Suarez
Attack vs Primera Nacional average-9%-10%
Goals conceded vs average+0%-59%
Our expected goals here0.460.70

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw35%2.852.65
Double chanceAgropecuario or draw69%1.441.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.881.55
Draw no betAgropecuario (draw no bet)53%1.89–
Asian handicapAgropecuario +0.5 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals53%1.901.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals73%1.371.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals93%1.08–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals98%1.02–
First team to scoreTristan Suarez to score first42%2.40–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time56%1.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw28%3.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–021%4.74–

Recent results

Agropecuario – last 5

LDWLL
31 Mar@ Union Santa Fe0–2L
27 Mar@ Ciudad de Bolívar0–0D
15 Marvs Chacarita Juniors2–0W
1 Marvs Nueva Chicago0–2L
23 Feb@ Temperley0–1L
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Tristan Suarez – last 2

WW
21 Marvs Gimnasia Jujuy3–0W
2 Marvs San Martin S.J.2–1W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Agropecuario and Tristan Suarez.

Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez?

On our numbers Agropecuario have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Tristan Suarez 31%.

How many goals will there be in Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez?

Our predicted score is Agropecuario 0–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez?

Agropecuario vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Ofelia Rosenzuaig.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.