Value bet: Colegiales to win @ 2.35 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultColegiales to win46% · @2.35
Double chanceColegiales or draw75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals72% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.42
Colegiales vs Almagro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Colegiales v Almagro in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio de Colegiales. In the table, Colegiales are 7th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Almagro are 15th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
Colegiales, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Miguel, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Almagro, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Midland, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Colegiales, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Almagro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colegiales 1.2 xG, Almagro 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colegiales 46%, draw 29%, Almagro 25%.
Lower-risk option: Colegiales or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Colegiales to win @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Colegiales or draw (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colegiales 1–0 Almagro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colegiales46%fair 2.17 · @2.35
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.60
Almagro25%fair 4.06 · @3.45
1.89Expected goals
1.22Colegiales xG
0.67Almagro xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Colegiales 1.2 – 0.7 Almagro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Colegiales
Almagro
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+3%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
+23%
Our expected goals here
1.55
0.66
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colegiales to win
46%
2.17
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Colegiales or draw
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.40
Draw no bet
Colegiales (draw no bet)
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Almagro +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
54%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Colegiales to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colegiales / FT Colegiales
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.42
–
Recent results
Colegiales – last 3
DWL
29 Mar
vs San Miguel
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Atlanta
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Almagro – last 3
DLD
15 Mar
@ Midland
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colegiales and Almagro.
Our pick is Colegiales or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Colegiales vs Almagro?
On our numbers Colegiales have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Almagro 25%.
How many goals will there be in Colegiales vs Almagro?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colegiales vs Almagro?
Our predicted score is Colegiales 1–0 Almagro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Colegiales vs Almagro?
Colegiales vs Almagro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Colegiales.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
All Boys
Ferro Carril Oeste
CA Estudiantes
Central Norte
Godoy Cruz
Acassuso