San Martin Tucuman 51%Draw 30%Chacarita Juniors 19%Expected goals 1.32 – 0.73
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultSan Martin Tucuman to win51% · @1.85
Double chanceSan Martin Tucuman or draw81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.88
San Martin Tucuman vs Chacarita Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martin Tucuman welcome Chacarita Juniors to Estadio La Ciudadela for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 4 April (21:30 WAT). In the table, San Martin Tucuman are 10th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Chacarita Juniors are 14th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
San Martin Tucuman, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Madryn, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Chacarita Juniors, last 4: LLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CA Estudiantes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Tucuman 1.3 xG, Chacarita Juniors 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Tucuman 51%, draw 30%, Chacarita Juniors 19%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Chacarita Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martin Tucuman51%fair 1.96 · @1.85
Draw30%fair 3.33 · @2.88
Chacarita Juniors19%fair 5.24 · @4.60
2.05Expected goals
1.32San Martin Tucuman xG
0.73Chacarita Juniors xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–013%
1–112%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 1.3 – 0.7 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Martin Tucuman
Chacarita Juniors
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+14%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.28
0.74
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Tucuman to win
51%
1.96
1.85
Double chance
San Martin Tucuman or draw
81%
1.24
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.95
1.45
Draw no bet
San Martin Tucuman (draw no bet)
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Chacarita Juniors +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
67%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
San Martin Tucuman to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martin Tucuman / FT San Martin Tucuman
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.88
–
Recent results
San Martin Tucuman – last 3
DDD
29 Mar
@ Deportivo Madryn
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Patronato
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Chacarita Juniors – last 4
LLWD
29 Mar
vs CA Estudiantes
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Agropecuario
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin Tucuman and Chacarita Juniors.
What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Chacarita Juniors?
On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Chacarita Juniors 19%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Chacarita Juniors?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Chacarita Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Martin Tucuman vs Chacarita Juniors?
San Martin Tucuman vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
All Boys
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CA Estudiantes
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