Double chanceSan Martin Tucuman or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.42
San Martin Tucuman vs Quilmes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 7 June the Primera Nacional brings San Martin Tucuman against Quilmes at Estadio La Ciudadela. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, San Martin Tucuman are 10th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Quilmes are 13th (lower half) with 45. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
San Martin Tucuman, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Midland, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Quilmes, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atletico DE Rafaela, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Quilmes, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for San Martin Tucuman.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Tucuman 1.2 xG, Quilmes 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Tucuman 49%, draw 31%, Quilmes 20%.
Lower-risk option: San Martin Tucuman or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Quilmes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martin Tucuman49%fair 2.04 · @1.95
Draw31%fair 3.24 · @2.80
Quilmes20%fair 5.00 · @4.50
1.84Expected goals
1.16San Martin Tucuman xG
0.68Quilmes xG
46%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–111%
2–011%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 1.2 – 0.7 Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+14%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.18
0.77
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Tucuman to win✗
49%
2.04
1.95
Double chance
San Martin Tucuman or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.44
Draw no bet
San Martin Tucuman (draw no bet)
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Quilmes +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
San Martin Tucuman to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martin Tucuman / FT San Martin Tucuman✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.42
–
Recent results
San Martin Tucuman – last 6
LLLWWD
31 May
@ Midland
0–2
L
24 May
vs Atlanta
0–1
L
17 May
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–1
L
13 May
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2–0
W
3 May
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Tristan Suarez
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Quilmes – last 6
WDLDWW
31 May
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–0
W
24 May
@ Agropecuario
0–0
D
17 May
vs Tristan Suarez
0–1
L
5 May
vs Chacarita Juniors
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ San Telmo
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Patronato
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin Tucuman and Quilmes.
What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Quilmes?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Quilmes?
On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Quilmes 20%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Quilmes?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Quilmes?
Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is San Martin Tucuman vs Quilmes?
San Martin Tucuman vs Quilmes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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