Value bet: Almirante Brown to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlmirante Brown to win ✗41% · @2.65
Double chanceAlmirante Brown or draw ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CA Estudiantes travel to face Almirante Brown on Friday 17 July in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Almirante Brown are 6th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; CA Estudiantes are 8th (upper half) with 49. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Almirante Brown, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with All Boys, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
CA Estudiantes, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Atletico Mitre, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours CA Estudiantes, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Almirante Brown.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Mar 2026) it ended CA Estudiantes 0–1 Almirante Brown.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almirante Brown 1.1 xG, CA Estudiantes 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almirante Brown 41%, draw 30%, CA Estudiantes 29%.
Lower-risk option: Almirante Brown or draw (71%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Almirante Brown to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Almirante Brown or draw (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almirante Brown 1–0 CA Estudiantes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almirante Brown41%fair 2.45 · @2.65
Draw30%fair 3.30 · @2.60
CA Estudiantes29%fair 3.47 · @2.95
1.88Expected goals
1.11Almirante Brown xG
0.77CA Estudiantes xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Almirante Brown 1.1 – 0.8 CA Estudiantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-1%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.34
0.77
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes?
Our pick is Almirante Brown or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes?
On our numbers Almirante Brown have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 30% and CA Estudiantes 29%.
How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes?
Our predicted score is Almirante Brown 1–0 CA Estudiantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes?
Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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