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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ferro Carril Oeste v Colon Santa Fe: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry

Ferro Carril Oeste

WWWWW
2–0
FT

Colon Santa Fe

WWLWD
Ferro Carril Oeste 38%Draw 31%Colon Santa Fe 31% Expected goals 0.95 – 0.90
69%
Betarazi pick

Either team to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds
2

Value bet: Colon Santa Fe to win @ 3.75 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFerro Carril Oeste to win ✓38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.68

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Colon Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:30 WAT, Friday 17 July: Ferro Carril Oeste v Colon Santa Fe in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry. In the table, Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd, among the top four, on 66 points after 36 matches; Colon Santa Fe are 5th (upper half) with 60.

Current form

Ferro Carril Oeste, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Miguel, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Colon Santa Fe, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Central Norte, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ferro Carril Oeste, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Colon Santa Fe.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Colon Santa Fe 1–1 Ferro Carril Oeste.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ferro Carril Oeste 0.9 xG, Colon Santa Fe 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ferro Carril Oeste 38%, draw 31%, Colon Santa Fe 31%.
  • Price worth noting: Colon Santa Fe to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Either team to win (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Colon Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ferro Carril Oeste38%fair 2.63 · @2.10
Draw31%fair 3.23 · @2.80
Colon Santa Fe31%fair 3.23 · @3.75
1.84Expected goals
0.95Ferro Carril Oeste xG
0.90Colon Santa Fe xG
40%Both score
28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–016%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Ferro Carril Oeste 0.9 – 0.9 Colon Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ferro Carril OesteColon Santa Fe
Attack vs Primera Nacional average-7%+22%
Goals conceded vs average-5%-27%
Our expected goals here0.840.91

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFerro Carril Oeste to win ✓38%2.632.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69%1.451.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓60%1.67–
Draw no betFerro Carril Oeste (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapColon Santa Fe +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreFerro Carril Oeste to score first ✓43%2.32–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.68–

Recent results

Ferro Carril Oeste – last 6

WWWWWD
11 Jul@ San Miguel1–0W
5 Julvs San Telmo2–1W
21 Junvs Deportivo Moron1–0W
14 Junvs Acassuso2–1W
7 Jun@ Chaco For Ever2–1W
30 May@ Racing Cordoba0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Colon Santa Fe – last 6

WWLWDD
12 Julvs Central Norte4–0W
5 Jul@ Deportivo Madryn2–1W
20 Jun@ Chaco For Ever0–1L
13 Jun@ Defensores De Belgrano3–0W
7 Junvs Ciudad de Bolívar0–0D
30 May@ Almirante Brown1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Colon Santa Fe v Ferro Carril Oeste1–1
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Colon Santa Fe head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

League hub
FT Almirante Brown0 CA Estudiantes0 141%2.65X30%2.60229%2.95 1.1–0.8xG 1XAlmirante Brown or draw 71%@1.30 ✓
FT Deportivo Maipu0 San Martin Tucuman0 141%2.60X29%2.75230%2.85 1.2–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.40 ✓
FT Atletico Mitre1 Racing Cordoba0 139%2.40X31%2.62230%3.30 1.2–0.9xG 1XAtletico Mitre or draw 70%@1.29 ✓
FT Nueva Chicago1 Agropecuario1 147%1.95X31%2.95222%4.00 1.1–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Colon Santa Fe?

Our pick is Either team to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Colon Santa Fe?

On our numbers Ferro Carril Oeste have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Colon Santa Fe 31%.

How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Colon Santa Fe?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Colon Santa Fe?

Our predicted score is Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Colon Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Colon Santa Fe?

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Colon Santa Fe (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.