Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Maipu to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.53
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 17 July the Primera Nacional brings Deportivo Maipu against San Martin Tucuman at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Maipu are 6th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; San Martin Tucuman are 10th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
Deportivo Maipu, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atletico DE Rafaela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
San Martin Tucuman, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Almagro, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Maipu 1.2 xG, San Martin Tucuman 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Maipu 41%, draw 29%, San Martin Tucuman 30%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Maipu 1–0 San Martin Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Maipu41%fair 2.45 · @2.60
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @2.75
San Martin Tucuman30%fair 3.35 · @2.85
2.06Expected goals
1.22Deportivo Maipu xG
0.84San Martin Tucuman xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maipu 1.2 – 0.8 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Maipu
San Martin Tucuman
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+0%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.37
0.73
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maipu to win✗
41%
2.45
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.42
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Maipu (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
San Martin Tucuman +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Deportivo Maipu to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maipu / FT Deportivo Maipu✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.53
–
Recent results
Deportivo Maipu – last 6
WWDLLW
11 Jul
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
3–1
W
5 Jul
vs Agropecuario
2–0
W
21 Jun
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–0
D
14 Jun
vs Tristan Suarez
0–1
L
7 Jun
@ Club Atlético Güemes
0–1
L
31 May
vs Chacarita Juniors
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Martin Tucuman – last 6
WWDLDL
12 Jul
vs Almagro
3–0
W
5 Jul
@ Patronato
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Temperley
1–1
D
13 Jun
@ Colegiales
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Quilmes
0–0
D
31 May
@ Midland
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Maipu and San Martin Tucuman.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Deportivo Maipu have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 29% and San Martin Tucuman 30%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maipu 1–0 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman?
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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