Value bet: Almirante Brown to win @ 4.10 – our chance 29% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDefensores De Belgrano to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.46
Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Primera Nacional brings Defensores De Belgrano against Almirante Brown at Estadio Juan Pasquale. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Defensores De Belgrano are 15th, lower half, on 39 points after 36 matches; Almirante Brown are 6th (upper half) with 51. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Defensores De Belgrano, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atletico DE Rafaela, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Almirante Brown, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Tristan Suarez, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Almirante Brown, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Defensores De Belgrano.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Almirante Brown 0–2 Defensores De Belgrano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensores De Belgrano 1.0 xG, Almirante Brown 0.7 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensores De Belgrano 45%, draw 27%, Almirante Brown 29%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Almirante Brown to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensores De Belgrano 0–0 Almirante Brown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensores De Belgrano45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.60
Almirante Brown29%fair 3.49 · @4.10
1.68Expected goals
0.98Defensores De Belgrano xG
0.70Almirante Brown xG
44%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–019%
1–018%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Defensores De Belgrano 1.0 – 0.7 Almirante Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown?
On our numbers Defensores De Belgrano have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Almirante Brown 29%.
How many goals will there be in Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown?
Our predicted score is Defensores De Belgrano 0–0 Almirante Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown?
Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Pasquale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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