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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nueva Chicago v Atlanta: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Nueva Chicago
0–1
FT

Atlanta

LWLLW
Nueva Chicago 39%Draw 26%Atlanta 35% Expected goals 1.04 – 0.97
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNueva Chicago to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.25

Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 22 August the Primera Nacional brings Nueva Chicago against Atlanta at Estadio Nueva Chicago. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Nueva Chicago are 17th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 36 matches; Atlanta are 2nd (among the top four) with 62. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nueva Chicago, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to All Boys, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Atlanta, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ferro Carril Oeste, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Atlanta 1–2 Nueva Chicago.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nueva Chicago 1.0 xG, Atlanta 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nueva Chicago 39%, draw 26%, Atlanta 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nueva Chicago 1–0 Atlanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nueva Chicago39%fair 2.58 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.75
Atlanta35%fair 2.82 · @2.70
2.01Expected goals
1.04Nueva Chicago xG
0.97Atlanta xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–114%
0–013%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Nueva Chicago 1.0 – 1.0 Atlanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNueva Chicago to win ✗39%2.582.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.922.20 ▲
Draw no betNueva Chicago (draw no bet) ✗52%1.91–
Asian handicapAtlanta +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.701.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreNueva Chicago to score first ✗45%2.24–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%14.25–

Recent results

Nueva Chicago – last 6

LLWLDL
17 Aug@ All Boys0–1L
9 Aug@ Gimnasia Y Tiro0–2L
1 Augvs San Martin Tucuman2–1W
25 Jul@ Atletico DE Rafaela0–1L
17 Julvs Agropecuario1–1D
11 Jul@ Tristan Suarez0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Atlanta – last 6

LWLLWL
15 Aug@ Ferro Carril Oeste1–3L
9 Augvs Temperley1–0W
2 Aug@ Deportivo Maipu2–4L
28 Julvs Almagro1–3L
14 Julvs Colegiales1–0W
4 Jul@ Quilmes1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Apr 2026Atlanta v Nueva Chicago1–2
Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta?

On our numbers Nueva Chicago have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atlanta 35%.

How many goals will there be in Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta?

Our predicted score is Nueva Chicago 1–0 Atlanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta?

Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nueva Chicago.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.