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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Martin S.J. v Gimnasia Y Tiro: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina
3–1
FT
San Martin S.J. 57%Draw 27%Gimnasia Y Tiro 16% Expected goals 1.40 – 0.59
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.38Odds
1

Value bet: San Martin S.J. to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSan Martin S.J. to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceSan Martin S.J. or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.20

San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 22 August the Primera Nacional brings San Martin S.J. against Gimnasia Y Tiro. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, San Martin S.J. are 9th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th (upper half) with 52. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

San Martin S.J., last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Racing Cordoba, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Gimnasia Y Tiro, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Central Norte, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Gimnasia Y Tiro, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for San Martin S.J..

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–1 San Martin S.J..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Martin S.J. 1.4 xG, Gimnasia Y Tiro 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin S.J. 57%, draw 27%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: San Martin S.J. or draw (84%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.48.
  • Price worth noting: San Martin S.J. to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin S.J. 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Martin S.J.57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.95
Gimnasia Y Tiro16%fair 6.34 · @4.20
1.99Expected goals
1.40San Martin S.J. xG
0.59Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%

From our goals model: San Martin S.J. 1.4 – 0.6 Gimnasia Y Tiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Martin S.J. to win ✓57%1.751.91 ▲
Double chanceSan Martin S.J. or draw ✓84%1.191.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.951.48
Draw no betSan Martin S.J. (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapGimnasia Y Tiro +1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.721.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.481.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreSan Martin S.J. to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Martin S.J. / FT San Martin S.J. ✓34%2.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.20–

Recent results

San Martin S.J. – last 6

DDDLWL
16 Aug@ Racing Cordoba0–0D
9 Aug@ San Martin Tucuman1–1D
1 Augvs Atletico DE Rafaela1–1D
26 Jul@ Agropecuario1–2L
12 Jul@ Club Atlético Güemes2–0W
5 Julvs Chacarita Juniors0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Gimnasia Y Tiro – last 6

DWWWWD
16 Aug@ Central Norte0–0D
9 Augvs Nueva Chicago2–0W
5 Aug@ Almagro2–0W
2 Aug@ Temperley2–1W
26 Julvs Deportivo Maipu1–0W
12 Julvs Patronato1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Gimnasia Y Tiro v San Martin S.J.1–1
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

On our numbers San Martin S.J. have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimnasia Y Tiro 16%.

How many goals will there be in San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Our predicted score is San Martin S.J. 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.