San Martin S.J. 57%Draw 27%Gimnasia Y Tiro 16%Expected goals 1.40 – 0.59
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
1
Value bet: San Martin S.J. to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Martin S.J. to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceSan Martin S.J. or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.20
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Primera Nacional brings San Martin S.J. against Gimnasia Y Tiro. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, San Martin S.J. are 9th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th (upper half) with 52. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
San Martin S.J., last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Racing Cordoba, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Gimnasia Y Tiro, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Central Norte, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gimnasia Y Tiro, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for San Martin S.J..
Head to head
When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–1 San Martin S.J..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martin S.J. 1.4 xG, Gimnasia Y Tiro 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin S.J. 57%, draw 27%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 16%.
Lower-risk option: San Martin S.J. or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: San Martin S.J. to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin S.J. 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martin S.J.57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.95
Gimnasia Y Tiro16%fair 6.34 · @4.20
1.99Expected goals
1.40San Martin S.J. xG
0.59Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Martin S.J. 1.4 – 0.6 Gimnasia Y Tiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
On our numbers San Martin S.J. have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimnasia Y Tiro 16%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our predicted score is San Martin S.J. 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.