Value bet: Tristan Suarez to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtletico DE Rafaela to win ✓38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.87
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico DE Rafaela welcome Tristan Suarez to Estadio Nuevo Monumental for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 29 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Tristan Suarez are 1st (leading the league) with 64. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Club Atlético Güemes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Tristan Suarez, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Agropecuario, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tristan Suarez, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Atletico DE Rafaela.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Apr 2026) it ended Tristan Suarez 0–0 Atletico DE Rafaela.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico DE Rafaela 0.8 xG, Tristan Suarez 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 80%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico DE Rafaela 38%, draw 27%, Tristan Suarez 35%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Tristan Suarez to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico DE Rafaela 0–0 Tristan Suarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico DE Rafaela38%fair 2.64 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.60
Tristan Suarez35%fair 2.83 · @3.20
1.53Expected goals
0.79Atletico DE Rafaela xG
0.74Tristan Suarez xG
46%Both score
20%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Atletico DE Rafaela 0.8 – 0.7 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?
On our numbers Atletico DE Rafaela have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tristan Suarez 35%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 20% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?
Our predicted score is Atletico DE Rafaela 0–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ciudad de Bolívar1
Defensores De Belgrano0