Value bet: Deportivo Maipu to win @ 3.90 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultColegiales to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.20
Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Colegiales v Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio de Colegiales. In the table, Colegiales are 7th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Maipu are 6th (upper half) with 52. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Colegiales, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Almagro, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Deportivo Maipu, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Quilmes, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colegiales 1.2 xG, Deportivo Maipu 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colegiales 43%, draw 26%, Deportivo Maipu 31%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Maipu to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colegiales 1–0 Deportivo Maipu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colegiales43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
Deportivo Maipu31%fair 3.18 · @3.90
2.14Expected goals
1.18Colegiales xG
0.96Deportivo Maipu xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Colegiales 1.2 – 1.0 Deportivo Maipu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colegiales to win✓
43%
2.34
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.62
Draw no bet
Colegiales (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Maipu +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Colegiales to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colegiales / FT Colegiales✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.20
–
Recent results
Colegiales – last 6
DLDWWL
22 Aug
@ Almagro
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ San Miguel
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Patronato
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Quilmes
1–0
W
14 Jul
@ Atlanta
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Maipu – last 6
WWLWLD
23 Aug
vs Quilmes
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Godoy Cruz
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Midland
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Atlanta
4–2
W
26 Jul
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colegiales and Deportivo Maipu.
What is the prediction for Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
On our numbers Colegiales have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Maipu 31%.
How many goals will there be in Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our predicted score is Colegiales 1–0 Deportivo Maipu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Colegiales.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.