Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Gimnasia Y Tiro to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia Y Tiro to win ✓61% · @1.83
Double chanceGimnasia Y Tiro or draw ✓87% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 4.98
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Primera Nacional brings Gimnasia Y Tiro against Chacarita Juniors at Estadio El Gigante del Norte. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Chacarita Juniors are 14th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
Gimnasia Y Tiro, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to San Martin S.J., away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Chacarita Juniors, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Martin Tucuman, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Gimnasia Y Tiro, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Chacarita Juniors.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.5 xG, Chacarita Juniors 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Y Tiro 61%, draw 26%, Chacarita Juniors 13%.
Lower-risk option: Gimnasia Y Tiro or draw (87%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Gimnasia Y Tiro to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 Chacarita Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia Y Tiro61%fair 1.63 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.95
Chacarita Juniors13%fair 7.86 · @4.60
2.00Expected goals
1.49Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
0.52Chacarita Juniors xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.5 – 0.5 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia Y Tiro to win✓
61%
1.63
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Gimnasia Y Tiro or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.53
Draw no bet
Gimnasia Y Tiro (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia Y Tiro -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Gimnasia Y Tiro to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia Y Tiro / FT Gimnasia Y Tiro✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
4.98
–
Recent results
Gimnasia Y Tiro – last 6
LDWWWW
22 Aug
@ San Martin S.J.
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ Central Norte
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Nueva Chicago
2–0
W
5 Aug
@ Almagro
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Temperley
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Deportivo Maipu
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chacarita Juniors – last 6
LDLLWL
23 Aug
vs San Martin Tucuman
1–2
L
19 Aug
vs Club Atlético Güemes
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ CA Estudiantes
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Agropecuario
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Tristan Suarez
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Y Tiro and Chacarita Juniors.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors?
On our numbers Gimnasia Y Tiro have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chacarita Juniors 13%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 Chacarita Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors?
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ciudad de Bolívar1
Defensores De Belgrano0