Value bet: Chacarita Juniors to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChacarita Juniors to win ✗37% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 15.40
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Almagro welcome Chacarita Juniors to Estadio Tres de Febrero for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 10 October (19:30 WAT). In the table, Almagro are 15th, lower half, on 42 points after 36 matches; Chacarita Juniors are 14th (lower half) with 42. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Almagro, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over San Martin S.J., away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Chacarita Juniors, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Patronato, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Chacarita Juniors 1–0 Almagro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almagro 1.0 xG, Chacarita Juniors 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almagro 37%, draw 26%, Chacarita Juniors 37%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Chacarita Juniors to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.93, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almagro 1–1 Chacarita Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almagro37%fair 2.72 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @2.70
Chacarita Juniors37%fair 2.71 · @3.10
1.92Expected goals
0.96Almagro xG
0.96Chacarita Juniors xG
52%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Almagro 1.0 – 1.0 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?
On our numbers Almagro have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chacarita Juniors 37%.
How many goals will there be in Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our predicted score is Almagro 1–1 Chacarita Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tres de Febrero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
