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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Quilmes v Agropecuario: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes

Quilmes

DWLWL
0–1
FT
Quilmes 63%Draw 21%Agropecuario 16% Expected goals 1.38 – 0.46
63%
Betarazi pick

Quilmes to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultQuilmes to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceQuilmes or draw ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.58

Quilmes vs Agropecuario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the Primera Nacional brings Quilmes against Agropecuario at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Quilmes are 13th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Agropecuario are 12th (lower half) with 46. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Quilmes, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tristan Suarez, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Agropecuario, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Midland, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Agropecuario 0–0 Quilmes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Quilmes 1.4 xG, Agropecuario 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Quilmes 63%, draw 21%, Agropecuario 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Quilmes or draw (84%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Quilmes to win (63%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quilmes 1–0 Agropecuario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Quilmes63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.10
Agropecuario16%fair 6.39 · @4.80
1.84Expected goals
1.38Quilmes xG
0.46Agropecuario xG
45%Both score
28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
2–17%

From our goals model: Quilmes 1.4 – 0.5 Agropecuario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQuilmes to win ✗63%1.591.75 ▲
Double chanceQuilmes or draw ✗84%1.191.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.821.62
Draw no betQuilmes (draw no bet) ✗80%1.25–
Asian handicapAgropecuario +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreQuilmes to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Quilmes / FT Quilmes ✗36%2.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22%4.58–

Recent results

Quilmes – last 6

DWLWLL
3 Oct@ Tristan Suarez0–0D
26 Sepvs Club Atlético Güemes2–0W
20 Sep@ Chacarita Juniors0–3L
12 Sepvs San Martin S.J.1–0W
7 Sep@ Nueva Chicago0–1L
30 Augvs Temperley0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Agropecuario – last 6

DLWLWD
4 Octvs Midland0–0D
27 Sep@ Atlanta0–1L
20 Sepvs Gimnasia Y Tiro1–0W
13 Sep@ San Martin Tucuman0–3L
6 Sepvs Atletico DE Rafaela2–0W
1 Sep@ Gimnasia Jujuy1–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Agropecuario v Quilmes0–0
Quilmes vs Agropecuario head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Quilmes vs Agropecuario?

Our pick is Quilmes to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Quilmes vs Agropecuario?

On our numbers Quilmes have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Agropecuario 16%.

How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs Agropecuario?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs Agropecuario?

Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–0 Agropecuario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Quilmes vs Agropecuario?

Quilmes vs Agropecuario (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.