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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Midland v Atletico DE Rafaela: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium

Midland

DLWWL
4–0
FT
Midland 57%Draw 24%Atletico DE Rafaela 19% Expected goals 1.27 – 0.56
57%
Betarazi pick

Midland to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultMidland to win ✓57% · @1.80
Double chanceMidland or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.91

Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico DE Rafaela travel to face Midland on Saturday 10 October in the Primera Nacional, with Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Midland are 5th, upper half, on 55 points after 36 matches; Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th (lower half) with 47.

Current form

Midland, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Agropecuario, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atlanta, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Midland 1.3 xG, Atletico DE Rafaela 0.6 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Midland 57%, draw 24%, Atletico DE Rafaela 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Midland or draw (81%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Midland to win (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Midland 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Midland57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.90
Atletico DE Rafaela19%fair 5.21 · @5.00
1.83Expected goals
1.27Midland xG
0.56Atletico DE Rafaela xG
46%Both score
28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
0–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%

From our goals model: Midland 1.3 – 0.6 Atletico DE Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMidland to win ✓57%1.761.80
Double chanceMidland or draw ✓81%1.241.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.871.44
Draw no betMidland (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapAtletico DE Rafaela +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓55%1.83–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗89%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreMidland to score first ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Midland / FT Midland ✓32%3.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%4.91–

Recent results

Midland – last 6

DLWWLL
4 Oct@ Agropecuario0–0D
27 Sepvs Tristan Suarez0–1L
20 Sep@ Club Atlético Güemes2–0W
13 Sepvs Chacarita Juniors1–0W
6 Sep@ San Martin S.J.2–3L
3 Sep@ Colegiales0–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6

LLWLLW
4 Octvs Atlanta2–3L
27 Sep@ Gimnasia Y Tiro0–1L
19 Sepvs San Martin Tucuman4–2W
13 Sep@ Gimnasia Jujuy1–2L
6 Sep@ Agropecuario0–2L
29 Augvs Tristan Suarez2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Midland and Atletico DE Rafaela.

Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Our pick is Midland to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

On our numbers Midland have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico DE Rafaela 19%.

How many goals will there be in Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Our predicted score is Midland 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.