Aurora vs Guastatoya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guastatoya travel to face Aurora on Thursday 19 March in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Guillermo Slowing the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Aurora are 11th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 22 matches; Guastatoya are 7th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Aurora, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Municipal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Guastatoya, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Mictlán, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aurora 1.5 xG, Guastatoya 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aurora 47%, draw 26%, Guastatoya 27%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aurora 1–1 Guastatoya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aurora47%fair 2.13 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.20
Guastatoya27%fair 3.65 · @3.40
2.55Expected goals
1.53Aurora xG
1.03Guastatoya xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Aurora 1.5 – 1.0 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Aurora
Guastatoya
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+8%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.65
1.00
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aurora to win✗
47%
2.13
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.85
Draw no bet
Aurora (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Guastatoya +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Aurora to score first✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aurora / FT Aurora✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Aurora – last 6
LLDDDW
16 Mar
@ Municipal
1–4
L
11 Mar
@ Mictlán
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Xelajú
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Mixco
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Marquense
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Comunicaciones
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Guastatoya – last 6
WDLWLD
15 Mar
vs Mictlán
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ Marquense
2–2
D
25 Feb
@ Antigua GFC
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Cobán Imperial
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Achuapa
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Malacateco
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aurora and Guastatoya.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aurora vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Aurora have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guastatoya 27%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Aurora 1–1 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aurora vs Guastatoya?
Aurora vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
