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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marquense v Cobán Imperial: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada
3–1
FT
Marquense 44%Draw 27%Cobán Imperial 29% Expected goals 1.34 – 0.97
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultMarquense to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60

Marquense vs Cobán Imperial: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cobán Imperial travel to face Marquense on Thursday 19 March in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Marquense are 8th, lower half, on 30 points after 22 matches; Cobán Imperial are 6th (upper half) with 32. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Marquense, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Malacateco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Cobán Imperial, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Comunicaciones, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marquense 1.3 xG, Cobán Imperial 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marquense 44%, draw 27%, Cobán Imperial 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marquense 1–0 Cobán Imperial. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marquense44%fair 2.27 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.10
Cobán Imperial29%fair 3.50 · @3.50
2.30Expected goals
1.34Marquense xG
0.97Cobán Imperial xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Marquense 1.3 – 1.0 Cobán Imperial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MarquenseCobán Imperial
Attack vs Liga Nacional average-23%+2%
Goals conceded vs average-5%+3%
Our expected goals here1.330.89

Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarquense to win ✓44%2.272.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.90
Draw no betMarquense (draw no bet) ✓61%1.65–
Asian handicapCobán Imperial +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.501.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.711.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.271.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreMarquense to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marquense / FT Marquense ✓26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.60–

Recent results

Marquense – last 6

WDLDLW
8 Marvs Malacateco1–0W
5 Marvs Guastatoya2–2D
1 Mar@ Municipal0–1L
26 Febvs Aurora0–0D
22 Feb@ Mictlán1–2L
20 Febvs Mixco2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cobán Imperial – last 6

WDDWLD
15 Marvs Comunicaciones2–0W
9 Mar@ Antigua GFC2–2D
5 Marvs Xelajú1–1D
24 Febvs Malacateco2–0W
22 Feb@ Guastatoya0–2L
18 Febvs Municipal0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Marquense and Cobán Imperial.

Marquense vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?

On our numbers Marquense have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cobán Imperial 29%.

How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?

Our predicted score is Marquense 1–0 Cobán Imperial, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?

Marquense vs Cobán Imperial (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.