Mictlán vs Malacateco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mictlán welcome Malacateco to Estadio La Asuncion for a Liga Nacional fixture on Thursday 19 March (01:00 WAT). In the table, Mictlán are 9th, lower half, on 27 points after 22 matches; Malacateco are 10th (in the drop zone) with 22.
Current form
Mictlán, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Guastatoya, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Malacateco, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mixco, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mictlán, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Malacateco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mictlán 1.6 xG, Malacateco 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mictlán 57%, draw 24%, Malacateco 19%.
Lower-risk option: Mictlán or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mictlán 1–0 Malacateco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mictlán57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.35
Malacateco19%fair 5.29 · @4.00
2.48Expected goals
1.65Mictlán xG
0.83Malacateco xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Mictlán 1.6 – 0.8 Malacateco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mictlán
Malacateco
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+3%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.69
0.85
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mictlán to win✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Double chance
Mictlán or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Draw no bet
Mictlán (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Malacateco +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Mictlán to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mictlán / FT Mictlán✓
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Mictlán – last 6
LWLDWL
15 Mar
@ Guastatoya
1–3
L
11 Mar
vs Aurora
2–0
W
2 Mar
@ Xelajú
0–2
L
26 Feb
@ Mixco
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Marquense
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Malacateco – last 6
LLLDLD
15 Mar
vs Mixco
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Marquense
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Comunicaciones
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Antigua GFC
2–2
D
24 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Achuapa
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mictlán and Malacateco.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mictlán vs Malacateco?
On our numbers Mictlán have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Malacateco 19%.
How many goals will there be in Mictlán vs Malacateco?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mictlán vs Malacateco?
Our predicted score is Mictlán 1–0 Malacateco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mictlán vs Malacateco?
Mictlán vs Malacateco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Asuncion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
