Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 6.05
Municipal vs Malacateco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Municipal welcome Malacateco to Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera for a Liga Nacional fixture on Sunday 29 March (01:00 WAT). In the table, Municipal are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 22 matches; Malacateco are 10th (in the drop zone) with 22. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Municipal, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guastatoya, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Malacateco, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aurora, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Municipal, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Malacateco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Municipal 1.9 xG, Malacateco 0.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal 70%, draw 20%, Malacateco 10%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal 1–0 Malacateco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Municipal70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.75
Malacateco10%fair 9.85 · @11.00
2.46Expected goals
1.93Municipal xG
0.53Malacateco xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Municipal 1.9 – 0.5 Malacateco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Municipal
Malacateco
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+6%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.74
0.43
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal to win✓
70%
1.43
1.25
Double chance
Municipal or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.57
Draw no bet
Municipal (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Municipal -1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Municipal to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Municipal ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal / FT Municipal✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
6.05
–
Recent results
Municipal – last 6
DLWLWL
22 Mar
@ Guastatoya
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Xelajú
1–3
L
16 Mar
vs Aurora
4–1
W
4 Mar
@ Mixco
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Marquense
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Malacateco – last 6
DLLLLD
23 Mar
vs Aurora
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Mictlán
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Mixco
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Marquense
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Comunicaciones
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Antigua GFC
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Municipal and Malacateco.
What is the prediction for Municipal vs Malacateco?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Municipal vs Malacateco?
On our numbers Municipal have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Malacateco 10%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Malacateco?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Malacateco?
Our predicted score is Municipal 1–0 Malacateco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Municipal vs Malacateco?
Municipal vs Malacateco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
