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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Xelajú v Guastatoya: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Mario Camposeco

Xelajú

WWDDD
1–1
FT
Xelajú 63%Draw 23%Guastatoya 14% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.74
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultXelajú to win ✗63% · @1.48
Double chanceXelajú or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.08

Xelajú vs Guastatoya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Guastatoya travel to face Xelajú on Sunday 29 March in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Mario Camposeco the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Xelajú are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 22 matches; Guastatoya are 7th (lower half) with 31.

Current form

Xelajú, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Comunicaciones, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Guastatoya, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Municipal, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Xelajú 1.8 xG, Guastatoya 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Xelajú 63%, draw 23%, Guastatoya 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xelajú 1–0 Guastatoya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Xelajú63%fair 1.60 · @1.48
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.70
Guastatoya14%fair 6.91 · @6.40
2.55Expected goals
1.81Xelajú xG
0.74Guastatoya xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Xelajú 1.8 – 0.7 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

XelajúGuastatoya
Attack vs Liga Nacional average+22%+2%
Goals conceded vs average-19%-9%
Our expected goals here1.860.77

Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultXelajú to win ✗63%1.601.48
Double chanceXelajú or draw ✓86%1.171.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.971.60
Draw no betXelajú (draw no bet)81%1.23–
Asian handicapXelajú -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreXelajú to score first ✗65%1.53–
Half-time resultXelajú ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Xelajú / FT Xelajú ✗39%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.08–

Recent results

Xelajú – last 6

WWDDDW
23 Mar@ Comunicaciones3–1W
20 Marvs Municipal3–1W
15 Marvs Antigua GFC1–1D
8 Mar@ Aurora0–0D
5 Mar@ Cobán Imperial1–1D
2 Marvs Mictlán2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Guastatoya – last 6

DWWDLW
22 Marvs Municipal1–1D
19 Mar@ Aurora1–0W
15 Marvs Mictlán3–1W
5 Mar@ Marquense2–2D
25 Feb@ Antigua GFC0–2L
22 Febvs Cobán Imperial2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Xelajú and Guastatoya.

Xelajú vs Guastatoya head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Xelajú vs Guastatoya?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Xelajú vs Guastatoya?

On our numbers Xelajú have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guastatoya 14%.

How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Guastatoya?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Guastatoya?

Our predicted score is Xelajú 1–0 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Xelajú vs Guastatoya?

Xelajú vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.