Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.08
Xelajú vs Guastatoya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guastatoya travel to face Xelajú on Sunday 29 March in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Mario Camposeco the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Xelajú are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 22 matches; Guastatoya are 7th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Xelajú, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Comunicaciones, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Guastatoya, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Municipal, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xelajú 1.8 xG, Guastatoya 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xelajú 63%, draw 23%, Guastatoya 14%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xelajú 1–0 Guastatoya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xelajú63%fair 1.60 · @1.48
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.70
Guastatoya14%fair 6.91 · @6.40
2.55Expected goals
1.81Xelajú xG
0.74Guastatoya xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Xelajú 1.8 – 0.7 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Xelajú
Guastatoya
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+22%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.86
0.77
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xelajú to win✗
63%
1.60
1.48
Double chance
Xelajú or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.60
Draw no bet
Xelajú (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Xelajú -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Xelajú to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Xelajú ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xelajú / FT Xelajú✗
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.08
–
Recent results
Xelajú – last 6
WWDDDW
23 Mar
@ Comunicaciones
3–1
W
20 Mar
vs Municipal
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Antigua GFC
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Aurora
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Cobán Imperial
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Mictlán
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guastatoya – last 6
DWWDLW
22 Mar
vs Municipal
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Aurora
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Mictlán
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ Marquense
2–2
D
25 Feb
@ Antigua GFC
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Cobán Imperial
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xelajú and Guastatoya.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Xelajú vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Xelajú have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guastatoya 14%.
How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Xelajú 1–0 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Xelajú vs Guastatoya?
Xelajú vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.