Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLiniers to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceLiniers or draw ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Liniers vs San Martín Burzaco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Primera B Metropolitana brings Liniers against San Martín Burzaco at Juan Antonio Arias Stadium. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Liniers are 16th, lower half, on 48 points after 42 matches; San Martín Burzaco are 12th (lower half) with 51. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liniers 1.3 xG, San Martín Burzaco 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liniers 46%, draw 28%, San Martín Burzaco 26%.
Lower-risk option: Liniers or draw (74%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Liniers or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liniers 1–0 San Martín Burzaco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liniers46%fair 2.18 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @2.85
San Martín Burzaco26%fair 3.80 · @3.25
2.23Expected goals
1.33Liniers xG
0.90San Martín Burzaco xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–010%
2–19%
From our goals model: Liniers 1.3 – 0.9 San Martín Burzaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Liniers
San Martín Burzaco
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-2%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
+32%
Our expected goals here
1.51
0.98
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liniers to win✗
46%
2.18
2.25
Double chance
Liniers or draw✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Liniers (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
San Martín Burzaco +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Liniers to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liniers / FT Liniers✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Liniers
No recent results on record.
San Martín Burzaco
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liniers and San Martín Burzaco.
What is the prediction for Liniers vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our pick is Liniers or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Liniers vs San Martín Burzaco?
On our numbers Liniers have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and San Martín Burzaco 26%.
How many goals will there be in Liniers vs San Martín Burzaco?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liniers vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our predicted score is Liniers 1–0 San Martín Burzaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Liniers vs San Martín Burzaco?
Liniers vs San Martín Burzaco (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Juan Antonio Arias Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
