Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.25
Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Merlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Merlo travel to face Villa Dalmine on Sunday 22 February in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Villa Dalmine are 6th, upper half, on 68 points after 42 matches; Deportivo Merlo are 15th (lower half) with 49. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villa Dalmine 1.2 xG, Deportivo Merlo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Dalmine 42%, draw 32%, Deportivo Merlo 26%.
Lower-risk option: Villa Dalmine or draw (74%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Villa Dalmine or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Dalmine 1–0 Deportivo Merlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villa Dalmine42%fair 2.38 · @2.33
Draw32%fair 3.16 · @2.75
Deportivo Merlo26%fair 3.79 · @3.25
2.01Expected goals
1.19Villa Dalmine xG
0.82Deportivo Merlo xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Villa Dalmine 1.2 – 0.8 Deportivo Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Merlo
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-23%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.00
0.61
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Dalmine to win✗
42%
2.38
2.33
Double chance
Villa Dalmine or draw✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.55
Draw no bet
Villa Dalmine (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Merlo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Villa Dalmine to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villa Dalmine / FT Villa Dalmine✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.25
–
Recent results
Villa Dalmine
No recent results on record.
Deportivo Merlo – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Excursionistas
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Dalmine and Deportivo Merlo.
What is the prediction for Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Merlo?
Our pick is Villa Dalmine or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Merlo?
On our numbers Villa Dalmine have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Deportivo Merlo 26%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Merlo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Merlo?
Our predicted score is Villa Dalmine 1–0 Deportivo Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Merlo?
Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
