Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.89
Real Pilar vs Sportivo Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Real Pilar v Sportivo Italiano in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza. In the table, Real Pilar are 7th, upper half, on 66 points after 42 matches; Sportivo Italiano are 3rd (among the top four) with 72.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Pilar 1.0 xG, Sportivo Italiano 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Pilar 46%, draw 31%, Sportivo Italiano 23%.
Lower-risk option: Real Pilar or draw (77%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Pilar 1–0 Sportivo Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Pilar46%fair 2.15 · @1.91
Draw31%fair 3.24 · @2.88
Sportivo Italiano23%fair 4.40 · @4.33
1.82Expected goals
1.05Real Pilar xG
0.77Sportivo Italiano xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Real Pilar 1.0 – 0.8 Sportivo Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Pilar
Sportivo Italiano
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-2%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-15%
Our expected goals here
0.97
0.94
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Pilar to win✗
46%
2.15
1.91
Double chance
Real Pilar or draw✗
77%
1.29
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.50
Draw no bet
Real Pilar (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Italiano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Real Pilar to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.89
–
Recent results
Real Pilar
No recent results on record.
Sportivo Italiano – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs UAI Urquiza
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Pilar and Sportivo Italiano.
What is the prediction for Real Pilar vs Sportivo Italiano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Real Pilar vs Sportivo Italiano?
On our numbers Real Pilar have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Sportivo Italiano 23%.
How many goals will there be in Real Pilar vs Sportivo Italiano?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Pilar vs Sportivo Italiano?
Our predicted score is Real Pilar 1–0 Sportivo Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Real Pilar vs Sportivo Italiano?
Real Pilar vs Sportivo Italiano (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
