Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultArgentino de Merlo to win44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.99
Argentino de Merlo vs San Martín Burzaco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Saturday 23 May: Argentino de Merlo v San Martín Burzaco in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva. In the table, Argentino de Merlo are 13th, lower half, on 50 points after 42 matches; San Martín Burzaco are 12th (lower half) with 51. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Argentino de Merlo, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Excursionistas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Martín Burzaco, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Flandria, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Argentino de Merlo 1.3 xG, San Martín Burzaco 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 36%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Argentino de Merlo 44%, draw 27%, San Martín Burzaco 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentino de Merlo 1–1 San Martín Burzaco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Argentino de Merlo44%fair 2.29 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.90
San Martín Burzaco29%fair 3.44 · @3.35
2.20Expected goals
1.28Argentino de Merlo xG
0.92San Martín Burzaco xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Argentino de Merlo 1.3 – 0.9 San Martín Burzaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Argentino de Merlo
San Martín Burzaco
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
+2%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+32%
Our expected goals here
1.58
1.04
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentino de Merlo to win
44%
2.29
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Argentino de Merlo (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
San Martín Burzaco +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Argentino de Merlo to score first
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentino de Merlo / FT Argentino de Merlo
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.99
–
Recent results
Argentino de Merlo – last 6
DLWLWW
14 Apr
vs Excursionistas
1–1
D
10 Apr
@ Arsenal Sarandi
0–3
L
3 Apr
@ Ituzaingó
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Talleres Remedios
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Flandria
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Argentino Quilmes
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
San Martín Burzaco – last 6
LLWDWD
19 Apr
vs Flandria
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Argentino Quilmes
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Comunicaciones
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Dock Sud
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Ituzaingó
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Villa San Carlos
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino de Merlo and San Martín Burzaco.
What is the prediction for Argentino de Merlo vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Argentino de Merlo vs San Martín Burzaco?
On our numbers Argentino de Merlo have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Martín Burzaco 29%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino de Merlo vs San Martín Burzaco?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino de Merlo vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our predicted score is Argentino de Merlo 1–1 San Martín Burzaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Argentino de Merlo vs San Martín Burzaco?
Argentino de Merlo vs San Martín Burzaco (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
