Argentino Quilmes 37%Draw 32%Defensores Unidos 31%Expected goals 0.95 – 0.82
70%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.42
7/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultArgentino Quilmes to win37% · @2.25
Double chanceArgentino Quilmes or draw69% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals70% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.20
Argentino Quilmes vs Defensores Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 23 May the Primera B Metropolitana brings Argentino Quilmes against Defensores Unidos at Barranca Quilmena stadium. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Argentino Quilmes are 17th, lower half, on 47 points after 42 matches; Defensores Unidos are 19th (lower half) with 46. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Argentino Quilmes, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Comunicaciones, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Defensores Unidos, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Camioneros, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Argentino Quilmes 0.9 xG, Defensores Unidos 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Argentino Quilmes 37%, draw 32%, Defensores Unidos 31%.
Lower-risk option: Argentino Quilmes or draw (69%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentino Quilmes 0–0 Defensores Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Argentino Quilmes37%fair 2.67 · @2.25
Draw32%fair 3.13 · @2.90
Defensores Unidos31%fair 3.27 · @3.20
1.77Expected goals
0.95Argentino Quilmes xG
0.82Defensores Unidos xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Argentino Quilmes 0.9 – 0.8 Defensores Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Argentino Quilmes
Defensores Unidos
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-24%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-13%
Our expected goals here
0.77
0.67
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentino Quilmes to win
37%
2.67
2.25
Double chance
Argentino Quilmes or draw
69%
1.44
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.98
1.57
Draw no bet
Argentino Quilmes (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Defensores Unidos +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
57%
1.77
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
97%
1.04
–
First team to score
Argentino Quilmes to score first
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.20
–
Recent results
Argentino Quilmes – last 6
DLWLDW
17 May
@ Comunicaciones
0–0
D
3 May
@ Deportivo Merlo
0–1
L
16 Apr
vs San Martín Burzaco
3–0
W
29 Mar
@ Real Pilar
2–3
L
15 Mar
@ Villa Dalmine
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Arsenal Sarandi
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Defensores Unidos – last 6
LWDDLD
20 Apr
@ Deportivo Camioneros
0–1
L
14 Apr
vs Sportivo Italiano
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Liniers
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ UAI Urquiza
2–2
D
5 Mar
@ Excursionistas
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Arsenal Sarandi
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino Quilmes and Defensores Unidos.
What is the prediction for Argentino Quilmes vs Defensores Unidos?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Argentino Quilmes vs Defensores Unidos?
On our numbers Argentino Quilmes have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Defensores Unidos 31%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino Quilmes vs Defensores Unidos?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino Quilmes vs Defensores Unidos?
Our predicted score is Argentino Quilmes 0–0 Defensores Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Argentino Quilmes vs Defensores Unidos?
Argentino Quilmes vs Defensores Unidos (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Barranca Quilmena stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
