Villa Dalmine 41%Draw 32%Real Pilar 28%Expected goals 1.02 – 0.81
70%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.36
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultVilla Dalmine to win41% · @2.20
Double chanceVilla Dalmine or draw72% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.14
Villa Dalmine vs Real Pilar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Pilar travel to face Villa Dalmine on Saturday 23 May in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Villa Dalmine are 6th, upper half, on 68 points after 42 matches; Real Pilar are 7th (upper half) with 66. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Villa Dalmine, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Talleres Remedios, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Pilar, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Brown DE Adrogue, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Villa Dalmine, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Real Pilar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villa Dalmine 1.0 xG, Real Pilar 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Dalmine 41%, draw 32%, Real Pilar 28%.
Lower-risk option: Villa Dalmine or draw (72%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Dalmine 1–0 Real Pilar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villa Dalmine41%fair 2.47 · @2.20
Draw32%fair 3.17 · @2.85
Real Pilar28%fair 3.58 · @3.45
1.83Expected goals
1.02Villa Dalmine xG
0.81Real Pilar xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Villa Dalmine 1.0 – 0.8 Real Pilar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Villa Dalmine
Real Pilar
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-23%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
-5%
Our expected goals here
0.85
0.72
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Dalmine to win
41%
2.47
2.20
Double chance
Villa Dalmine or draw
72%
1.39
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.50
Draw no bet
Villa Dalmine (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Real Pilar +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Villa Dalmine to score first
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.14
–
Recent results
Villa Dalmine – last 6
WWDDWL
14 Apr
@ Talleres Remedios
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Brown DE Adrogue
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Argentino Quilmes
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Comunicaciones
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Dock Sud
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Deportivo Merlo
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Pilar – last 6
DWLWLL
15 Apr
@ Brown DE Adrogue
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Argentino Quilmes
3–2
W
26 Mar
@ Banfield
0–3
L
16 Mar
vs Comunicaciones
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs Deportivo Merlo
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Sportivo Italiano
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Dalmine and Real Pilar.
What is the prediction for Villa Dalmine vs Real Pilar?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Villa Dalmine vs Real Pilar?
On our numbers Villa Dalmine have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Real Pilar 28%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Dalmine vs Real Pilar?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Dalmine vs Real Pilar?
Our predicted score is Villa Dalmine 1–0 Real Pilar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Villa Dalmine vs Real Pilar?
Villa Dalmine vs Real Pilar (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
