Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.09
Deportivo Merlo vs Villa Dalmine: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 July the Primera B Metropolitana brings Deportivo Merlo against Villa Dalmine at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Merlo are 15th, lower half, on 49 points after 42 matches; Villa Dalmine are 6th (upper half) with 68. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Merlo, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Excursionistas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Villa Dalmine, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Camioneros, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Villa Dalmine 0–1 Deportivo Merlo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Merlo 1.0 xG, Villa Dalmine 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Merlo 34%, draw 32%, Villa Dalmine 35%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Merlo 0–0 Villa Dalmine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Merlo34%fair 2.98 · @2.85
Draw32%fair 3.15 · @2.80
Villa Dalmine35%fair 2.88 · @2.55
1.88Expected goals
0.96Deportivo Merlo xG
0.92Villa Dalmine xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Deportivo Merlo 1.0 – 0.9 Villa Dalmine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Merlo
Villa Dalmine
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-17%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
-14%
Our expected goals here
0.83
0.74
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Merlo vs Villa Dalmine?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Deportivo Merlo vs Villa Dalmine?
On our numbers Deportivo Merlo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Villa Dalmine 35%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Merlo vs Villa Dalmine?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Merlo vs Villa Dalmine?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Merlo 0–0 Villa Dalmine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Merlo vs Villa Dalmine?
Deportivo Merlo vs Villa Dalmine (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
