Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultExcursionistas to win ✗52% · @2.05
Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Dock Sud vs Excursionistas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 4 July: Dock Sud v Excursionistas in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Estadio de los Inmigrantes. In the table, Dock Sud are 18th, lower half, on 47 points after 42 matches; Excursionistas are 1st (leading the league) with 81. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dock Sud, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Arsenal Sarandi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Excursionistas, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Deportivo Merlo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Excursionistas, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Dock Sud.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Excursionistas 1–0 Dock Sud.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dock Sud 0.9 xG, Excursionistas 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dock Sud 23%, draw 25%, Excursionistas 52%.
Lower-risk option: Excursionistas or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Excursionistas or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dock Sud 0–1 Excursionistas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dock Sud23%fair 4.39 · @3.55
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.00
Excursionistas52%fair 1.92 · @2.05
2.45Expected goals
0.87Dock Sud xG
1.58Excursionistas xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Dock Sud 0.9 – 1.6 Excursionistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Dock Sud
Excursionistas
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-5%
+67%
Goals conceded vs average
+42%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.00
2.04
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Dock Sud vs Excursionistas?
Our pick is Excursionistas or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dock Sud vs Excursionistas?
On our numbers Dock Sud have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Excursionistas 52%.
How many goals will there be in Dock Sud vs Excursionistas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dock Sud vs Excursionistas?
Our predicted score is Dock Sud 0–1 Excursionistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Dock Sud vs Excursionistas?
Dock Sud vs Excursionistas (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de los Inmigrantes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
