Ituzaingó 31%Draw 29%Villa San Carlos 40%Expected goals 0.95 – 1.24
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVilla San Carlos to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.24
Ituzaingó vs Villa San Carlos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ituzaingó welcome Villa San Carlos to Estadio Carlos Sacaan for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Saturday 4 July (18:30 WAT). In the table, Ituzaingó are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 42 matches; Villa San Carlos are 11th (upper half) with 51. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ituzaingó, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportivo Armenio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Villa San Carlos, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Liniers, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Villa San Carlos 3–1 Ituzaingó.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ituzaingó 0.9 xG, Villa San Carlos 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ituzaingó 31%, draw 29%, Villa San Carlos 40%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ituzaingó 1–1 Villa San Carlos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ituzaingó31%fair 3.21 · @2.80
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.90
Villa San Carlos40%fair 2.49 · @2.50
2.19Expected goals
0.95Ituzaingó xG
1.24Villa San Carlos xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ituzaingó 0.9 – 1.2 Villa San Carlos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ituzaingó
Villa San Carlos
Attack vs Primera B Metropolitana average
-25%
-0%
Goals conceded vs average
+47%
-5%
Our expected goals here
0.83
1.26
Our own ratings from every Primera B Metropolitana result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Ituzaingó vs Villa San Carlos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ituzaingó vs Villa San Carlos?
On our numbers Ituzaingó have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Villa San Carlos 40%.
How many goals will there be in Ituzaingó vs Villa San Carlos?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituzaingó vs Villa San Carlos?
Our predicted score is Ituzaingó 1–1 Villa San Carlos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ituzaingó vs Villa San Carlos?
Ituzaingó vs Villa San Carlos (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Sacaan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
