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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Pilar v Brown DE Adrogue: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza
2–0
FT
Real Pilar 45%Draw 24%Brown DE Adrogue 31% Expected goals 1.13 – 0.85
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultReal Pilar to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.31

Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Pilar welcome Brown DE Adrogue to Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Tuesday 25 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Real Pilar are 7th, upper half, on 66 points after 42 matches; Brown DE Adrogue are 20th (in the drop zone) with 46. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Real Pilar, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Armenio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Brown DE Adrogue, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with UAI Urquiza, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Real Pilar, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Brown DE Adrogue.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Apr 2026) it ended Brown DE Adrogue 1–1 Real Pilar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Pilar 1.1 xG, Brown DE Adrogue 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Pilar 45%, draw 24%, Brown DE Adrogue 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Pilar 1–0 Brown DE Adrogue. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Pilar45%fair 2.21 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.95
Brown DE Adrogue31%fair 3.28 · @3.45
1.98Expected goals
1.13Real Pilar xG
0.85Brown DE Adrogue xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Real Pilar 1.1 – 0.9 Brown DE Adrogue expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Pilar to win ✓45%2.212.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.982.20 ▲
Draw no betReal Pilar (draw no bet) ✓60%1.67–
Asian handicapBrown DE Adrogue +1 (Asian handicap) ✗77%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.681.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.501.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.211.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreReal Pilar to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Pilar / FT Real Pilar ✓24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.31–

Recent results

Real Pilar – last 6

WDDWWL
22 Aug@ Deportivo Armenio1–0W
15 Augvs Flandria0–0D
8 Aug@ Argentino Quilmes0–0D
1 Augvs Defensores Unidos2–1W
25 Jul@ Comunicaciones2–1W
18 Julvs Dock Sud0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Brown DE Adrogue – last 6

DLWDWL
21 Augvs UAI Urquiza1–1D
15 Aug@ Villa Dalmine0–1L
8 Augvs Excursionistas1–0W
31 Jul@ Arsenal Sarandi1–1D
25 Julvs Argentino de Merlo1–0W
18 Jul@ Talleres Remedios0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Apr 2026Brown DE Adrogue v Real Pilar1–1
Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue?

On our numbers Real Pilar have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brown DE Adrogue 31%.

How many goals will there be in Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue?

Our predicted score is Real Pilar 1–0 Brown DE Adrogue, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue?

Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.