Sportivo Italiano v Defensores Unidos Prediction & Expected Goals (25 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSportivo Italiano to win ✗62% · @1.68

Double chanceSportivo Italiano or draw ✗87% · @1.10

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.09

Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sportivo Italiano welcome Defensores Unidos to Republica de Italia Stadium for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Tuesday 25 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Sportivo Italiano are 3rd, among the top four, on 72 points after 42 matches; Defensores Unidos are 19th (lower half) with 46. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sportivo Italiano, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Comunicaciones, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Defensores Unidos, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San Martín Burzaco, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sportivo Italiano, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Defensores Unidos.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Apr 2026) it ended Defensores Unidos 2–0 Sportivo Italiano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Italiano 1.5 xG, Defensores Unidos 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Italiano 62%, draw 24%, Defensores Unidos 13%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Defensores Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportivo Italiano62%fair 1.61 · @1.68

Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20

Defensores Unidos13%fair 7.41 · @5.10

2.04Expected goals

1.51Sportivo Italiano xG

0.53Defensores Unidos xG

48%Both score

35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%

2–015%

0–013%

1–110%

2–18%

3–07%

From our goals model: Sportivo Italiano 1.5 – 0.5 Defensores Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sportivo Italiano to win ✗	62%	1.61	1.68
Double chance	Sportivo Italiano or draw ✗	87%	1.16	1.10
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	52%	1.93	1.50
Draw no bet	Sportivo Italiano (draw no bet) ✗	82%	1.22	–
Asian handicap	Sportivo Italiano -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	61%	1.63	1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	65%	1.53	1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	94%	1.06	–
First team to score	Sportivo Italiano to score first ✗	64%	1.55	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sportivo Italiano / FT Sportivo Italiano ✗	37%	2.67	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	20%	5.09	–

Sportivo Italiano – last 6

LWWDDW

21 Aug	@ Comunicaciones	0–1	L
15 Aug	vs Dock Sud	4–0	W
9 Aug	@ Deportivo Merlo	4–0	W
1 Aug	vs Deportivo Camioneros	1–1	D
25 Jul	@ Ituzaingó	0–0	D
18 Jul	@ San Martín Burzaco	2–1	W

1.8Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Defensores Unidos – last 6

WLLLDD

22 Aug	vs San Martín Burzaco	2–0	W
16 Aug	@ Villa San Carlos	0–1	L
8 Aug	vs Liniers	2–3	L
1 Aug	@ Real Pilar	1–2	L
25 Jul	vs UAI Urquiza	1–1	D
18 Jul	@ Villa Dalmine	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores Unidos?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores Unidos?

On our numbers Sportivo Italiano have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Defensores Unidos 13%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores Unidos?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores Unidos?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Defensores Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores Unidos?

Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores Unidos (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Republica de Italia Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sportivo Italiano v Defensores Unidos: numbers & prediction