Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Argentino Quilmes to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArgentino Quilmes to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.19
San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Argentino Quilmes travel to face San Martín Burzaco on Tuesday 25 August in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Francisco Boga Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, San Martín Burzaco are 12th, lower half, on 51 points after 42 matches; Argentino Quilmes are 17th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
San Martín Burzaco, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Defensores Unidos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Argentino Quilmes, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Villa San Carlos, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Argentino Quilmes, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for San Martín Burzaco.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Apr 2026) it ended Argentino Quilmes 3–0 San Martín Burzaco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martín Burzaco 1.0 xG, Argentino Quilmes 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martín Burzaco 37%, draw 25%, Argentino Quilmes 38%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Argentino Quilmes to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martín Burzaco 0–1 Argentino Quilmes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martín Burzaco37%fair 2.70 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.90
Argentino Quilmes38%fair 2.60 · @3.10
1.97Expected goals
0.97San Martín Burzaco xG
1.00Argentino Quilmes xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–014%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: San Martín Burzaco 1.0 – 1.0 Argentino Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?
On our numbers San Martín Burzaco have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Argentino Quilmes 38%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?
Our predicted score is San Martín Burzaco 0–1 Argentino Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?
San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Boga Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.