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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Martín Burzaco v Argentino Quilmes: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Francisco Boga Stadium
San Martín Burzaco 37%Draw 25%Argentino Quilmes 38% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.00
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2

Value bet: Argentino Quilmes to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultArgentino Quilmes to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.19

San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Argentino Quilmes travel to face San Martín Burzaco on Tuesday 25 August in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Francisco Boga Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, San Martín Burzaco are 12th, lower half, on 51 points after 42 matches; Argentino Quilmes are 17th (lower half) with 47.

Current form

San Martín Burzaco, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Defensores Unidos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Argentino Quilmes, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Villa San Carlos, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Argentino Quilmes, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for San Martín Burzaco.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Apr 2026) it ended Argentino Quilmes 3–0 San Martín Burzaco.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Martín Burzaco 1.0 xG, Argentino Quilmes 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Martín Burzaco 37%, draw 25%, Argentino Quilmes 38%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Argentino Quilmes to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martín Burzaco 0–1 Argentino Quilmes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Martín Burzaco37%fair 2.70 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.90
Argentino Quilmes38%fair 2.60 · @3.10
1.97Expected goals
0.97San Martín Burzaco xG
1.00Argentino Quilmes xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–014%
0–27%
1–27%

From our goals model: San Martín Burzaco 1.0 – 1.0 Argentino Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArgentino Quilmes to win ✗38%2.603.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.911.57
Draw no betArgentino Quilmes (draw no bet) ✗51%1.96–
Asian handicapSan Martín Burzaco +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.681.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.491.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.211.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗95%1.05–
First team to scoreArgentino Quilmes to score first ✓44%2.29–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.19–

Recent results

San Martín Burzaco – last 6

LDLDLL
22 Aug@ Defensores Unidos0–2L
15 Augvs Comunicaciones0–0D
9 Aug@ Dock Sud1–4L
2 Augvs Deportivo Merlo1–1D
25 Jul@ Deportivo Camioneros0–2L
18 Julvs Sportivo Italiano1–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Argentino Quilmes – last 6

LWDDDD
22 Augvs Villa San Carlos0–2L
16 Aug@ Liniers1–0W
8 Augvs Real Pilar0–0D
1 Aug@ UAI Urquiza0–0D
25 Julvs Villa Dalmine0–0D
18 Jul@ Excursionistas0–0D
0.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Apr 2026Argentino Quilmes v San Martín Burzaco3–0
San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?

On our numbers San Martín Burzaco have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Argentino Quilmes 38%.

How many goals will there be in San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?

Our predicted score is San Martín Burzaco 0–1 Argentino Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?

San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Boga Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.