Defensores Unidos v Argentino Quilmes Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDefensores Unidos to win ✗44% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.25

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.38

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.75

Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Argentino Quilmes travel to face Defensores Unidos on Saturday 3 October in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Defensores Unidos are 19th, lower half, on 46 points after 42 matches; Argentino Quilmes are 17th (lower half) with 47. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Defensores Unidos, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ituzaingó, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Argentino Quilmes, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Comunicaciones, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Defensores Unidos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Argentino Quilmes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Defensores Unidos 1.0 xG, Argentino Quilmes 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Defensores Unidos 44%, draw 25%, Argentino Quilmes 31%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.25 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensores Unidos 1–1 Argentino Quilmes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Defensores Unidos44%fair 2.28 · @2.30

Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80

Argentino Quilmes31%fair 3.21 · @3.10

1.82Expected goals

1.03Defensores Unidos xG

0.79Argentino Quilmes xG

50%Both score

27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%

0–016%

1–113%

0–113%

2–09%

2–17%

From our goals model: Defensores Unidos 1.0 – 0.8 Argentino Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Defensores Unidos to win ✗	44%	2.28	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	75%	1.33	1.40 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	50%	1.98	2.25 ▲
Draw no bet	Defensores Unidos (draw no bet)	59%	1.71	–
Asian handicap	Argentino Quilmes +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	79%	1.26	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	73%	1.38	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	89%	1.13	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
First team to score	Defensores Unidos to score first	47%	2.11	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	52%	1.91	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✓	24%	4.17	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	7%	14.75	–

Defensores Unidos – last 6

WLWDDW

25 Sep	@ Ituzaingó	1–0	W
18 Sep	@ Comunicaciones	0–2	L
12 Sep	vs Dock Sud	3–0	W
5 Sep	@ Deportivo Merlo	0–0	D
29 Aug	vs Deportivo Camioneros	0–0	D
25 Aug	@ Sportivo Italiano	2–0	W

1.0Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

0%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Argentino Quilmes – last 6

DDWLLL

27 Sep	vs Comunicaciones	0–0	D
20 Sep	@ Dock Sud	0–0	D
13 Sep	vs Deportivo Merlo	1–0	W
6 Sep	@ Deportivo Camioneros	0–1	L
29 Aug	vs Sportivo Italiano	0–2	L
25 Aug	@ San Martín Burzaco	2–3	L

0.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.

Who will win Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes?

On our numbers Defensores Unidos have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Argentino Quilmes 31%.

How many goals will there be in Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes?

Our predicted score is Defensores Unidos 1–1 Argentino Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes?

Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Defensores Unidos v Argentino Quilmes: numbers & prediction