San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martín Burzaco welcome Argentino de Merlo to Francisco Boga Stadium for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Saturday 3 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, San Martín Burzaco are 12th, lower half, on 51 points after 42 matches; Argentino de Merlo are 13th (lower half) with 50. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
San Martín Burzaco, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Talleres Remedios, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Argentino de Merlo, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Villa San Carlos, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours San Martín Burzaco, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Argentino de Merlo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martín Burzaco 1.1 xG, Argentino de Merlo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martín Burzaco 44%, draw 26%, Argentino de Merlo 31%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.93, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martín Burzaco 1–1 Argentino de Merlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martín Burzaco44%fair 2.29 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.70
Argentino de Merlo31%fair 3.28 · @3.40
1.97Expected goals
1.11San Martín Burzaco xG
0.86Argentino de Merlo xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Martín Burzaco 1.1 – 0.9 Argentino de Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martín Burzaco to win✓
44%
2.29
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
San Martín Burzaco (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Argentino de Merlo +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
San Martín Burzaco to score first✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martín Burzaco / FT San Martín Burzaco✓
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
7%
13.54
–
Recent results
San Martín Burzaco – last 6
LWWDLW
26 Sep
@ Talleres Remedios
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Deportivo Laferrere
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Brown DE Adrogue
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Deportivo Armenio
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Flandria
0–2
L
25 Aug
vs Argentino Quilmes
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Argentino de Merlo – last 6
LWLLDL
26 Sep
vs Villa San Carlos
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Liniers
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Real Pilar
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ UAI Urquiza
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Villa Dalmine
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Excursionistas
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martín Burzaco and Argentino de Merlo.
What is the prediction for San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo?
On our numbers San Martín Burzaco have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Argentino de Merlo 31%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our predicted score is San Martín Burzaco 1–1 Argentino de Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo?
San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Boga Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
