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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Liniers v Excursionistas: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Juan Antonio Arias Stadium

Liniers

LLWDD
1–0
FT
Liniers 20%Draw 23%Excursionistas 57% Expected goals 0.69 – 1.43
80%
Betarazi pick

Excursionistas or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultExcursionistas to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.81

Liniers vs Excursionistas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 3 October the Primera B Metropolitana brings Liniers against Excursionistas at Juan Antonio Arias Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Liniers are 16th, lower half, on 48 points after 42 matches; Excursionistas are 1st (leading the league) with 81. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Liniers, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Arsenal Sarandi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Excursionistas, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Real Pilar, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Excursionistas, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Liniers.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Excursionistas 4–1 Liniers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Liniers 0.7 xG, Excursionistas 1.4 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Liniers 20%, draw 23%, Excursionistas 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: Excursionistas or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Excursionistas or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liniers 0–1 Excursionistas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Liniers20%fair 5.09 · @3.90
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.10
Excursionistas57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
2.12Expected goals
0.69Liniers xG
1.43Excursionistas xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–212%
0–012%
1–112%
1–28%
1–08%

From our goals model: Liniers 0.7 – 1.4 Excursionistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultExcursionistas to win ✗57%1.761.85 ▲
Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✗80%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.942.05 ▲
Draw no betExcursionistas (draw no bet) ✗74%1.35–
Asian handicapLiniers +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreExcursionistas to score first ✗60%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Excursionistas / FT Excursionistas ✗33%3.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.81–

Recent results

Liniers – last 6

LLWDDW
26 Sep@ Arsenal Sarandi0–2L
20 Sepvs Argentino de Merlo1–2L
12 Sep@ Talleres Remedios2–0W
6 Sepvs Deportivo Laferrere2–2D
29 Aug@ Brown DE Adrogue1–1D
26 Augvs Deportivo Armenio3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Excursionistas – last 6

WWWWLW
26 Sepvs Real Pilar3–0W
19 Sep@ UAI Urquiza2–1W
13 Sepvs Villa Dalmine3–0W
8 Sepvs Ituzaingó2–1W
29 Aug@ Arsenal Sarandi0–3L
26 Augvs Argentino de Merlo2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Excursionistas v Liniers4–1
Liniers vs Excursionistas head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Liniers vs Excursionistas?

Our pick is Excursionistas or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Liniers vs Excursionistas?

On our numbers Liniers have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Excursionistas 57%.

How many goals will there be in Liniers vs Excursionistas?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Liniers vs Excursionistas?

Our predicted score is Liniers 0–1 Excursionistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Liniers vs Excursionistas?

Liniers vs Excursionistas (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Juan Antonio Arias Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.