El Porvenir 52%Draw 27%Deportivo Muñiz 21%Expected goals 1.28 – 0.69
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultEl Porvenir to win ✓52% · @1.85
Double chanceEl Porvenir or draw ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.58
El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
El Porvenir welcome Deportivo Muñiz for a Primera C fixture on Saturday 30 May (18:30 WAT). In the table, El Porvenir are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Muñiz are 14th (in the drop zone) with 29.
Current form
El Porvenir, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Central Ballester, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Muñiz, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fénix, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours El Porvenir, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.8 for Deportivo Muñiz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Porvenir 1.3 xG, Deportivo Muñiz 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Porvenir 52%, draw 27%, Deportivo Muñiz 21%.
Lower-risk option: El Porvenir or draw (79%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Porvenir 1–0 Deportivo Muñiz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Porvenir52%fair 1.92 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.95
Deportivo Muñiz21%fair 4.81 · @4.40
1.97Expected goals
1.28El Porvenir xG
0.69Deportivo Muñiz xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: El Porvenir 1.3 – 0.7 Deportivo Muñiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
El Porvenir
Deportivo Muñiz
Attack vs Primera C average
+1%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
+30%
Our expected goals here
1.43
0.78
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Porvenir to win✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Double chance
El Porvenir or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.50
Draw no bet
El Porvenir (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Muñiz +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
El Porvenir to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Porvenir / FT El Porvenir✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.58
–
Recent results
El Porvenir – last 5
WDDDD
27 Apr
@ Central Ballester
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Fénix
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ Yupanqui
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs Sportivo Barracas
2–2
D
9 Mar
@ Leones de Rosario
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Deportivo Muñiz – last 6
WLDLLD
25 May
vs Fénix
1–0
W
17 May
@ Leandro N. Alem
0–1
L
11 May
@ Sportivo Barracas
0–0
D
4 May
vs Lujan
0–2
L
13 Apr
vs Leones de Rosario
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Atletico Atlas
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Porvenir and Deportivo Muñiz.
What is the prediction for El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz?
On our numbers El Porvenir have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Muñiz 21%.
How many goals will there be in El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz?
Our predicted score is El Porvenir 1–0 Deportivo Muñiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz?
El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.