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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

El Porvenir v Deportivo Muñiz: numbers & prediction

Primera C · Argentina
2–1
FT
El Porvenir 52%Draw 27%Deportivo Muñiz 21% Expected goals 1.28 – 0.69
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultEl Porvenir to win ✓52% · @1.85
Double chanceEl Porvenir or draw ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.58

El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

El Porvenir welcome Deportivo Muñiz for a Primera C fixture on Saturday 30 May (18:30 WAT). In the table, El Porvenir are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Muñiz are 14th (in the drop zone) with 29.

Current form

El Porvenir, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Central Ballester, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Muñiz, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fénix, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours El Porvenir, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.8 for Deportivo Muñiz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give El Porvenir 1.3 xG, Deportivo Muñiz 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – El Porvenir 52%, draw 27%, Deportivo Muñiz 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: El Porvenir or draw (79%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Porvenir 1–0 Deportivo Muñiz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

El Porvenir52%fair 1.92 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.95
Deportivo Muñiz21%fair 4.81 · @4.40
1.97Expected goals
1.28El Porvenir xG
0.69Deportivo Muñiz xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%

From our goals model: El Porvenir 1.3 – 0.7 Deportivo Muñiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

El PorvenirDeportivo Muñiz
Attack vs Primera C average+1%-14%
Goals conceded vs average+10%+30%
Our expected goals here1.430.78

Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEl Porvenir to win ✓52%1.921.85
Double chanceEl Porvenir or draw ✓79%1.261.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.50
Draw no betEl Porvenir (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapDeportivo Muñiz +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.701.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.491.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreEl Porvenir to score first56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT El Porvenir / FT El Porvenir ✗30%3.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.58–

Recent results

El Porvenir – last 5

WDDDD
27 Apr@ Central Ballester2–1W
22 Apr@ Fénix0–0D
13 Apr@ Yupanqui2–2D
29 Marvs Sportivo Barracas2–2D
9 Mar@ Leones de Rosario0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Deportivo Muñiz – last 6

WLDLLD
25 Mayvs Fénix1–0W
17 May@ Leandro N. Alem0–1L
11 May@ Sportivo Barracas0–0D
4 Mayvs Lujan0–2L
13 Aprvs Leones de Rosario1–2L
5 Apr@ Atletico Atlas1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between El Porvenir and Deportivo Muñiz.

El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz head-to-head page →

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lujan321976+2464
2Canuelas3217105+2161
3Deportivo Español3212164+1052
4Leones de Rosario3213127+651
5Central Cordoba3213109+949
6General Lamadrid329149-441
7Sportivo Barracas3211714040
8El Porvenir328168-440
9Central Ballester3210814-538
10Atletico Atlas3291013-537
11Claypole329914-1336
12Yupanqui3281113-335
13Fénix3281014-834
14Deportivo Muñiz3261115-1529

More Primera C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz?

On our numbers El Porvenir have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Muñiz 21%.

How many goals will there be in El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz?

Our predicted score is El Porvenir 1–0 Deportivo Muñiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz?

El Porvenir vs Deportivo Muñiz (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.